B The King
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
19%
Place Prob
25%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2025-10-19 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 3rd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/09/2025 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 19/10/2025 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 09/11/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 50% | -0.29 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |
| 24/07/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 21/08/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |