Extraordinary One
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#4
Rank
Odds
5/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 6.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-24 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-07-19 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-07-12 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-05-17 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +0.4% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 05/11/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/12/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 17/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 19/07/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 07/09/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 20% | -0.54 |
| 24/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |