Manchester Ice
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 63
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
29%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.3)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-20 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +15.0% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/06/2026 | 2nd | 1/1 | 95% | 75% | -0.20 |
| 11/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 20/08/2026 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 07/09/2026 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |