Team Almasty
3yo Gelding · 8-6 · OR 53
Woodbine · Race 4 - Claiming · 5f
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fort Erie | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-11 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +6.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 07/09/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |