Aryeh
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 82
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 4 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-28 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2024-10-25 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2024-10-06 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2024-05-25 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -10.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/05/2024 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 42% | +0.15 |
| 15/09/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.01 |
| 06/10/2024 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 56% | +0.40 |
| 25/10/2024 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |
| 28/08/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 12/09/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |