8
Field Hockey
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 76
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength4%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-12 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-08-01 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-07-18 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength55%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10/2024 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 07/06/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 22/06/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 18/07/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 01/08/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 12/12/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 80% | +0.27 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 11/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |