Fin Del Mundo
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 71
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 5 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-18 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-24 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-05 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-24 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-08-08 | Saratoga | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 24/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 05/07/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 38% | -0.51 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 50% | -0.21 |
| 18/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |