9

Mr. Perfect

3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73

Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f

#7

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength33%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 23/11/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 71 · 5f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/11/2025 · OR 71 par23/11C6OR 71C7 @ Woodbine 18/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 5f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 75 parC7 @ Woodbine 16/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/05/2026 · OR 70 par16/05C7OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 71 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 71 parC9 @ Woodbine 26/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 67 · 7f Fas 120 · below its mark26/06/2026 · OR 67 par26/06C9OR 67C7 @ Woodbine 20/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 68 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/07/2026 · OR 68 parC7 @ Woodbine 02/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 70 · 1m1f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/08/2026 · OR 70 par2/08C7OR 70C7 @ Woodbine 23/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 76 · 7f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2026 · OR 76 parC8 @ Woodbine 12/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR 77 · 7f110y Fm 122 · below its mark12/09/2026 · OR 77 par12/09C8OR 77projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-12Woodbine?7th7th0
2026-08-23Woodbine?1st0th+1
2026-08-02Woodbine?4th3rd+1
2026-07-20Woodbine?2nd1st+1
2026-06-26Woodbine?2nd3rd−1
2026-06-07Woodbine?11th10th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/117/062/0812/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength69%

Delivery trend -1.9% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/11/20255th20/10%60%+0.60
18/04/20265th9/276%33%-0.43
16/05/20265th11/271%33%-0.38
07/06/202611th33/10%0%0.00
26/06/20262nd9/153%89%+0.36
20/07/20262nd7/163%83%+0.20
02/08/20264th9/488%40%-0.48
23/08/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
12/09/20267th14/126%14%-0.12