
Mr. Perfect
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Woodbine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-08-02 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-20 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-26 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Woodbine | ? | 11th | 10th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/04/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 33% | -0.38 |
| 07/06/2026 | 11th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 89% | +0.36 |
| 20/07/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 02/08/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 40% | -0.48 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 14% | -0.12 |