5
Egbert Who
3yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 87
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength14%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Woodbine | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | Woodbine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-23 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-17 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength7%
Delivery trend -7.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 09/07/2026 | 8th | 4/1 | 79% | 13% | -0.66 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |