10

Into Diamonds

4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89

Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 7f

#8

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength44%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Keeneland 25/04/2024 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 5f110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS25/04C6C5 @ Woodbine 19/07/2024 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 90 · 5f110y Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/07/2024 · OR 90 par19/07C5OR 90C6 @ Gulfstream 09/01/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 84 · 5f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/01/2025 · OR 84 par9/01C6OR 84C6 @ Gulfstream 09/02/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 87 · 1m Fm 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/02/2025 · OR 87 par9/02C6OR 87C5 @ Saratoga 09/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 84 · 5f110y Fm 126 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/08/2026 · OR 84 par9/08C5OR 84C8 @ Saratoga 20/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 87 · 5f110y Fm 126 · below its mark20/08/2026 · OR 87 par20/08C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-20Saratoga?5th6th−1
2026-08-09Saratoga?8th6th+2
2025-02-09Gulfstream?4th3rd+1
2025-01-09Gulfstream?3rd2nd+1
2024-07-19Woodbine?2nd0th+2
2024-04-25Keeneland?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0419/079/019/029/0820/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength40%

Delivery trend -11.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20241st9/153%100%+0.47
19/07/20242nd6/492%80%-0.12
09/01/20253rd9/153%67%+0.14
09/02/20254th7/163%57%-0.06
09/08/20268th16/116%22%+0.06
20/08/20265th3/184%43%-0.41