8
Political Warfare
6yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 73
Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 7f
#11
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Woodbine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Woodbine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Woodbine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-20 | Woodbine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Woodbine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 02/10/2025 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 18/10/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 20/11/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 07/12/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 09/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 30/07/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |