1

Tiho Srce

3yo Gelding · 8-9 · OR 83

Woodbine · Race 6 - Optional Claiming · 7f

#6

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.0
Today:
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Woodbine 07/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f Fas 1197/06C7C7 @ Woodbine 05/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 82 · 6f110y Fas 120 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 82 par5/07C7OR 82C5 @ Woodbine 26/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 86 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/07/2026 · OR 86 par26/07C5OR 86C7 @ Woodbine 05/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 85 · 5f Gd 120 · beat its mark05/09/2026 · OR 85 par5/09C7OR 85projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Woodbine?1st1st0
2026-07-26Woodbine?7th5th+2
2026-07-05Woodbine?3rd3rd0
2026-06-07Woodbine?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/065/0726/075/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -20.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20262nd25/10%90%+0.90
05/07/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
26/07/20267th20/10%33%+0.33
05/09/20261st7/491%100%+0.09