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Public Knowledge

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 77

Woodbine · Race 7 - Maiden Claiming · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

6%

Place Prob

16%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength25%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Woodbine 24/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 5f Fas 121 · HIGHER CLASS24/05C6C9 @ Woodbine 04/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 86 · 6f110y Fas 118 · below its mark04/09/2026 · OR 86 par4/09C9OR 86projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Woodbine?4th4th0
2025-05-24Woodbine?4th1st+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/054/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength12%

Delivery trend -29.7% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/05/20254th12/137%50%+0.13
04/09/20264th5/174%57%-0.17