16:52 · Ffos Las

Dandara Apprentice Handicap

1m 2fGoing TBCClass 63YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 60
6/1
Zambezi Magic silks

Mr B J Llewellyn

9yo Gelding · 9-12

Zoffany - Millestan (Invincible Spirit)

Charlie Tucker70%0/1−7lbB J Llewellyn
756516
6.0
Hood

Didn't arrive in much form but capitalised on a sliding mark in 5-runner event at Chepstow (1¼m) last month. Unable to confirm that effort from a 4 lb higher mark when sixth of 11 at Chester (10.5f) 10 days ago but looks worth chancing returned to a 0-60 under forecast testing conditions.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/034/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par23/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 45%27/03Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 29%23/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%31/08Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.7%Ahead 3/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 57
2/1
Rogers Dream silks

Mr Benjamin Atkins

5yo Mare · 9-9

Harry Angel - Virginia Hall (Medicean)

C J Whiteley60%Gihan Arnolda
D84431
7.0

Switch to front-running tactics produced an upturn in fortunes, winning a classified stakes by a wide margin at Ripon (1¼m, soft) 3 weeks ago. Clearly improved a good deal and not without hope back in handicap company if able to lead again.

Class Advantage

21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/0814/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/10 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%21/08Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 73%2/06Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%31/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.9%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 52
8/1
City Escape silks

Out Of Bounds Racing Club

9yo Mare · 9-4

Cityscape - Lady Gabrielle (Dansili)

Ben Ffrench-DavisMrs N S Evans60%
655614
6.0
Eye Shield

Dual scorer in 2025 who bounced back to winning ways when taking 10-runner classified event over C&D (good) last month. Didn't get going in time back on softer ground at Chepstow 8 days later so percentage call is to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par2/065/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 50%2/06Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%4/07Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 38%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%21/08Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.9%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 50
5/1
Adrian silks

Mr B J Llewellyn

9yo Gelding · 9-2

Reliable Man - Anna Desta (Desert Style)

Toby Moore60%−5lbB J Llewellyn60%
308623
6.0Class ↓5
Blinkers

Veteran who hasn't won for over 5 years but arrives in good order, third of 10 at this course (1½m, good) last month. Record on the level for these connections now 0-21 so will most likely find a few too strong once again.

Class Advantage

28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/086/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/10 · mark par19/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 10 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 10%28/08Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%19/11Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 80%4/06Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%21/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.3%Ahead 4/4
7
4
OR 51
11/4
Elora Prince silks

Glacon Ltd & Partner

3yo Gelding · 8-12

Coulsty - Elora Princess (Desert Prince)

Jack Nicholls60%A Wintle60%
974661
6.0
Cheek pieces

Finally got off the mark back in a handicap in 6-runner event at Chepstow (1¼m, soft) just over 3 weeks ago, responding well to the refitting of cheekpieces and a positive ride. Nudged up 4 lb and he could kick on now up and running.

Class Advantage

23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/045/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par23/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 11%23/04Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%23/06Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 44%21/08Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.4%Ahead 1/4
9
5
OR 50
16/1
Mick The Hat silks

Dennis Driscoll & Partner

3yo Gelding · 8-11

New Bay - Feileacain (Awtaad)

Isobelle Chalmers−7lbB J Llewellyn60%
863853
4.0Going 7.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Standout effort when third on handicap debut here (1½m, soft) in June. A pair of next-time-out winners emerged from that race but he's offered little all 3 starts since. First run for yard after leaving Ralph Beckett (5,000 gns) and first-time cheekpieces are reached for.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0428/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 22%8/04Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 75%4/06Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 8 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%7/07Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%25/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -34.7%Ahead 1/4
3
7
OR 55
25/1
Calaxy silks

Laurence Bellman

4yo Filly · 9-7

Calyx - Star Of Stars (Soviet Star)

Hope Regan0/1−7lbD M Loughnane60%
8469S9
2.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Southwell maiden winner in October 2024 but has largely struggled in handicaps since. Suffered a nasty incident on the first bend making his return/yard debut when slipping up at Thirsk last month and ran poorly returned to the all-weather at Kempton last week. Cheekpieces reapplied.

Class Advantage

1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/0923/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par17/12 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/12 · mark par14/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/01 · mark par11/02 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/02 · mark par14/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength55%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%1/09Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 30%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 73%17/12Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 6 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%11/02Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%14/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.8%Ahead 3/4
8
8
OR 45
25/1
Summer Evening silks

Mr J Tucker

4yo Filly · 8-12

Belardo - Mary Beeton (Anjaal)

Zoe Lewis60%−7lbD Flood
049880
2.0
Tongue strap

Placed twice on all-weather at Lingfield earlier in the year but below par in recent starts.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/035/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/04 · mark par18/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 21 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 21 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 5%29/03Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%18/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%11/08Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%18/08
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 2/4
5
9
OR 50
33/1
Trooper silks

Forte Sports

6yo Gelding · 9-2

Hunter's Light - Tipsy Tangerine (Soviet Star)

Millie Wonnacott60%N P Mulholland60%
547490
2.0
Blinkers

Five-time winner on the Flat in Germany but hasn't offered much over hurdles for current yard this year and it's been a similar story returned to this sphere on his last 4 outings.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/0417/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 17%12/04Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%5/06Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 11%8/08Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.8%Ahead 1/4