16:10 · Sandown

Trainor Stone & Tile Mosaic Fillies' Handicap

1m 1f 209yGoing TBCClass 53YO onlyTURFHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Value2
OR 62
12/1
Albertini Star silks

Old Gold Racing 32

3yo Filly · 9-3

Acclamation - Heroic Star (Sea The Stars)

Oisin Murphy80%A King60%
860233
6.0Going 7.0

Placed all 3 starts in handicaps this summer but she's proving consistent rather than progressive and she needs to find a little bit more.

Class Advantage

5/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/087/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/07 · mark par23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 8 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 22%5/08Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 31%26/11Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%23/07Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%18/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +51.4%Ahead 4/4
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 67
9/4
Talitha Rouge silks

Hot To Trot Racing 2

3yo Filly · 10-0

Space Blues - Coco Rouge (Shamardal)

Mark Winn60%1/3D O'Meara60%
343621
7.0Going 8.0

Was proving consistent rather than progressive until taking a big step forward when off the mark in good style at Redcar last week, settling the race in a matter of strides. Obvious claims under a penalty.

Class Advantage

26/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0516/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%26/05Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%7/07Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%15/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%9/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.6%Ahead 1/4
2
3
OR 68
5/1
Sweet Horizon silks

The Greenacre Partnership

3yo Filly · 9-9

Lope Y Fernandez - Belle Above All (New Approach)

Cieren Fallon80%Tom Clover60%
823
6.0
Blinkers

Left debut form well behind fitted with headgear when second of 5 in novice at Nottingham. Disappointed at Windsor next time but steady pace might have been against her, so worth another chance on handicap bow.

Class Advantage

28/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0617/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0727/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength61%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%28/06Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%17/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%27/07
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.3%Ahead 1/3
3
4
OR 67
7/1
Sterling Fortune silks

Fortune Racing

3yo Filly · 9-8

Kameko - Sterling Sound (Street Cry)

H Crouch60%0/2J Tate60%
055334
5.0Going 8.0

Ran her best race yet when fourth at Wolverhampton on handicap bow 2 weeks ago but the fact she was beaten almost 3 lengths proves she still has work to do off this sort of mark.

Class Advantage

6/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/0510/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 31%6/05Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 64%5/07Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%10/08Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%1/09
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength84%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.1%Ahead 2/4
10
6
OR 56
7/1
Pangbourne silks

Mr Jordan Souster

3yo Filly · 8-11

Planteur - Gold Ribbon (Golden Horn)

Owen Lewis60%0/1−5lbR A Teal
225553
4.0

Showed promise on all-weather earlier this year and hasn't fared at all badly switched to turf subsequently, excellent third at Ffos Las latest. Stiffer track here should suit.

Class Advantage

9/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/03 · mark par9/0330/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par14/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par11/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par28/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength24%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 90%9/03Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%14/04Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 56%14/08Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%28/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.9%Ahead 3/4
5
5
OR 63
10/1
Mystic Music silks

Kingsclere Racing Club

3yo Filly · 9-4

Waldgeist - Make Music (Acclamation)

Charlie Tucker70%−7lbA M Balding60%
5724
5.0

Much improved after 4 months off/switched to turf when finishing second in a Windsor maiden last month. Disappointed back on the all-weather 2 weeks ago but return to turf/further looks a positive now handicapping.

Class Advantage

12/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/035/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0410/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/083/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%12/03Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 25%5/04Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 86%10/08Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 25%3/09
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.1%Ahead 3/4
4
8
OR 65
9/2
Mmmbop silks

Premierracing Club

3yo Filly · 9-6

Time Test - Ebbesbourne (Teofilo)

W Buick70%D & C Kubler
5384
4.0

Matched the pick of her form making handicap debut when fourth at Kempton last week on first start for this yard after 4 months off. Remains with potential now stepping up in trip.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0430/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0427/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/059/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 50%8/04Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 82%30/04Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%27/05Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 77%9/09
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.4%Ahead 3/4
6
7
OR 62
25/1
Mohaab silks

Kebar Racing

3yo Filly · 9-3

Mohaather - Abbotsfield (Sakhee's Secret)

Lewis Edmunds1/8W Muir & C Grassick
514270
4.0Class ↓3

Wide-margin winner at Nottingham (good to soft) in May. Unable to defy revised mark since but easier conditions would probably be in her favour here.

Class Advantage

14/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par14/0419/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par1/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par10/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%14/04Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 4 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%1/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%10/08Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 18%28/08
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.4%Ahead 1/4
11
10
OR 56
33/1
Florizelle silks

Miss V Markowiak

3yo Filly · 8-11

Gleneagles - Fanci That (Elnadim)

Rob Hornby0/2E Smyth-Osbourne
5688
2.0

Well held in novices and showed nothing on handicap bow last month. Up in trip.

Class Advantage

17/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0319/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a19/058/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0621/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength48%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 0%17/03Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 50%19/05Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 30%8/06Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%21/08
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.0%Ahead 2/4
9
11
OR 57
20/1
Champagne Beau silks

Mr Bobby Allan

3yo Filly · 8-12

Frontiersman - Petit Bay (Dick Turpin)

Callum Hutchinson60%0/1P R Chamings
9876
2.0

Made a bit more of an impact when mid-field at Windsor on handicap bow last time but she was still 10 lengths off the winner having again made a mess of the start, while this drop back in trip looks another negative.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/0613/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0713/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/0829/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength47%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 20%8/06Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 30%13/07Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%13/08Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 58%29/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +29.4%Ahead 4/4
8
9
OR 58
25/1
Topathemorning silks

Saxon Hall

3yo Filly · 8-13

Mohaather - Topaling (Halling)

Marco Ghiani70%0/3S C Williams80%
65888
2.0Class ↓3

Probably flattered on her sole 2-y-o start given her struggles this year.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0921/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength63%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f 209y · 60%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 44%27/09Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 60%21/05Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%18/06Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 42%27/07Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%29/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.7%Ahead 2/4