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19:50 · Churchill Downs

Race 7 - Allowance

1m 110yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
5
OR 107
5/1
Define silks

Farfellow Farms, Ltd

Define

3yo Filly · 8-6

Lope De Vega - Roystonia (Redoute's Choice)

Tyler GaffalioneBrendan Walsh
74218
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

20/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a20/0720/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par23/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 40%20/07Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%20/09Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%23/03Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%18/07Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 22%23/08
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.6%Ahead 3/4
2
2
OR 88
15/1
Raconteuse silks

Selima Holdings, Llc And Bourbon Lane Stable (j Hill, M McMahon)

Raconteuse

5yo Mare · 8-10

Mitole - Free Rein (Street Cry)

Francisco Arrieta2/3Ian Wilkes
235121
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

6/02 · C9 · finish vs mark below6/02 · mark par6/027/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par23/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below23/04 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par21/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par8/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 88%6/02Pos 3 · SP 8/15 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 8/15 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 60%23/04Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 89%21/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%8/08
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 3/4
12
Market Fav7
OR 103
7/5
Gallant Greta silks

Jordan Wycoff

Gallant Greta

5yo Mare · 8-10

Twirling Candy - Tulipmania (Empire Maker)

Walter Rodriguez60%Michael Maker
221295
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓4

Class Advantage

11/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below11/09 · mark par11/0925/10 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/10 · mark par6/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/11 · mark par24/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/12 · mark par24/01 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/01 · mark par28/02 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/02 · mark par28/02projClass-projected finish: 1st of 13
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 86%11/09Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 2/5 | Actual: 100%6/11Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%24/01Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%28/02
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.6%Ahead 3/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 96
6/1
Sneakily silks

Wathnan Racing

Sneakily

3yo Filly · 8-6

Tapit - Sneaking Out (Indian Evening)

Jose Ortiz70%B Cox60%
213
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/087/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/06 · mark par7/0619/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/07 · mark par19/07projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 83%18/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%7/06Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 3 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 67%19/07
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.0%Ahead 2/3
9
3
OR 88
20/1
Kittens Stormy Gal silks

Cavello Ragazzi, Llc

Kittens Stormy Gal

4yo Filly · 8-10

Get Stormy - Kitten's Slew (Kitten's Joy)

James Graham60%2/8Jr Walter Bindner,
041471
7.0

Class Advantage

23/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/11 · mark par23/1126/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/03 · mark par29/04 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/04 · mark par23/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par21/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%23/11Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%29/04Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%9/07Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%21/08
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +46.3%Ahead 4/4
1
4
OR 98
8/1
High South silks

Calumet Farm

High South

4yo Filly · 8-10

Hightail - Southern Dynamo (Dynaformer)

Cristian Torres60%1/3George Arnold60%
814633
7.0

Class Advantage

18/05 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/0518/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par24/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/01 · mark par21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%18/05Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%24/01Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%9/07Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 78%22/08
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.6%Ahead 1/4
4
8
OR 82
12/1
Tramuntana silks

Castleton Lyons

Tramuntana

3yo Filly · 8-8

Practical Joke - Sue's Sweet Sioux (Indian Charlie)

Mitchell Murrill60%1/2Eddie Kenneally
56921
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

13/09 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a13/0915/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/10 · mark par1/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par4/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 60%13/09Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 55%15/10Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%1/05Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 83%22/06Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%4/08
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.0%Ahead 3/4
13
12
OR 93
20/1
Hold My Halo silks

Silverton Hill LLC

Hold My Halo

6yo Mare · 8-10

Great Notion - Modena Bay (Volksraad)

Adam Beschizza0/1Darrin Miller
447132
6.0

Class Advantage

27/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/04 · mark par27/0430/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/10 · mark par3/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par18/01 · C8 · finish vs mark above18/01 · mark par22/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below22/02 · mark par21/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 13
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%27/04Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 45%3/01Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 71%22/02Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%21/08
Projected finish8th of 1342% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +57.2%Ahead 4/4
3
13
OR 92
20/1
Eve silks

Agave Racing Stable

Eve

3yo Filly · 8-6

Kitten's Joy - Sweet Emma Rose (City Zip)

Axel ConcepcionPhilip D Amato
771
2.0

Class Advantage

10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a10/0624/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 45%10/06Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 40%24/06
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.5%Ahead 1/2
10
6
OR 92
20/1
Annelle silks

Flying Zee Racing Stables Llc

Annelle

4yo Filly · 8-10

Mendelssohn - Steely Magnolia (More Than Ready)

Luis Saez60%0/2Victoria Oliver
169384
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

29/05 · C8 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/054/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par31/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par10/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/10 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par8/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 11%31/08Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 30%9/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 70%8/08
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 9-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
7
9
OR 85
15/1
Queen Of Capri silks

Bradley Thoroughbreds, Dervenis, Steve, Northcutt, Allen, Areion Thoroughbreds, Cambron Equine, Llc, Starr, Kent, Starr, Sara And Hancock, Scott

Queen Of Capri

3yo Filly · 8-6

Mckinzie - Amalfi Queen (Tapit)

Jaime Torres60%1/3Riley Mott
516
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/086/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/072/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par2/08projClass-projected finish: 13th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%18/08Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%6/07Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%2/08
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 1-13 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.1%Ahead 1/3
11
11
OR 90
30/1
Differently silks

Ann Hayes

Differently

6yo Mare · 8-10

Ironicus - Differentiate (Include)

Martin Garcia60%0/1Bentley Combs
203243
5.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/054/01 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/01 · mark par20/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par13/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par3/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below3/06 · mark par21/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par21/07projClass-projected finish: 11th of 13
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲2
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%8/05Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 10 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%20/02Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%3/06Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 67%21/07
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.6%Ahead 3/4
8
10
OR 97
15/1
La Cantera silks

Raleigh Racing Stable Llc

La Cantera

4yo Filly · 8-10

Persian King - Desert Lantern (More Than Ready)

Gabriel SaezCarlos David60%
262358
4.0
Blinkers

Class Advantage

21/02 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/02 · mark par21/0221/03 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/03 · mark par18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par19/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par22/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 13
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%21/02Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%18/04Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%9/07Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 8 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 22%22/08
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 11-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.2%Ahead 1/4