13:47 · Hamilton

Watch Racing TV Free For 31 Days Handicap

1m 4f 15yGoing TBCClass 53YO plusTURFHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 73
10/3
Perseus Way silks

J Monkhouse R De Robeck A Miller

7yo Gelding · 9-13

Sea The Stars - Bint Almatar (Kingmambo)

Rowan Scott60%2/2T Davidson
415411
8.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Completed a cross-code hat-trick when bolting up at Hexham in June and is a perfect 2 from 2 on the Flat this season, landing 12-runner handicap over 13f at this course by neck from Spanish Hustle last time. Has won off a higher mark in the past so has to merit consideration.

Class Advantage

2/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par2/059/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par21/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/06 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength93%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 60%2/05Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 75%21/06Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength72%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.9%Ahead 3/4
12
Value2
OR 64
7/1
Spanish Hustle silks

Johnnie Delta Racing

8yo Gelding · 9-4

Pearl Secret - Dos Lunas (Galileo)

P Mulrennan0/2J S Goldie
066552
6.0

Six-time course winner. Ran best race this season with Mulrennan back in the saddle when neck second here earlier in the month, closing all way to the line. Is very well handicapped at present and should give another good account.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par31/0519/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par11/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par2/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength54%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%11/07Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 56%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%17/08Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 91%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength91%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.4%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 74
6/1
Unchartedterritory silks

Barbara & Alick Richmond

3yo Gelding · 9-7

New Bay - Anna's Rock (Rock Of Gibraltar)

D Tudhope60%1/3D O'Meara60%
473162
6.0

Much improved when opening account in 9f Carlisle handicap (soft) in June. Quickly back to form when 1¼ lengths second of 8 to Valley Of Flowers in handicap at Beverley (1½m, heavy, 6/1) 23 days ago. Makes the shortlist and would appreciate any further rain.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0415/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par3/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par9/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/06 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 57%26/04Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%3/06Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 58%8/08Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.5%Ahead 4/4
1
4
OR 75
7/1
Humble Spark silks

Mr James Callow & Mr J S Goldie

6yo Gelding · 10-1

Acclamation - Maiden Approach (New Approach)

Lauren Young60%0/7−5lbJ S Goldie60%
629665
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Course winner who's on a lengthy losing run but went very close in Queen Mothers Cup at York in June. Took a step back in the right direction when fifth at Ayr just 4 days ago. Takes a marked drop in grade and can't be discounted if building on that.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par30/0513/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par20/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par17/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/09 · mark par17/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 55%30/05Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 27%20/06Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%25/07Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%17/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.2%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 72
8/1
Sure And Stedfast silks

Mrs Karen Spark

4yo Gelding · 9-12

Calyx - Norway (Nathaniel)

Greg Fairley70%1/1Ewan Whillans
032531
8.0

Had been threatening to come good this season and posted a career-best effort when landing 6-runner handicap at Musselburgh (13f, good to firm) last month. More required again from a career-high mark.

Class Advantage

1/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/05 · mark par1/0517/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength62%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 18%1/05Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 83%4/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%11/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%7/08
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 75
12/1
Yafreh silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

3yo Colt · 9-8

Frankel - Muffri'ha (Iffraaj)

Warren Fentiman60%0/1R A Fahey80%
442275
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Disappointed on last 2 starts after finishing runner-up on his previous couple of runs, not looking the most enthusiastic. Goes back up in trip and looks the type who will benefit from the fitting of the first-time cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0421/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par9/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength82%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 40%25/04Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%10/06Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 7 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%9/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.8%Ahead 2/4
11
8
OR 72
8/1
Fans Favourite silks

Whip And Dip Syndicate

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Palace Pier - Starlet (Sea The Stars)

O J Orr60%H Palmer70%
115310
5.0
Cheek pieces

Has built a remarkable record with all 3 wins this season coming in the mud, latest at Beverley last month by neck from Rapide Vega. Can have his last run at Doncaster excused after an early stumble left him on the back foot. One to take seriously with conditions likely to be in his favour.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0619/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par11/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 69%27/07Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 11 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 38%11/09
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.2%Ahead 3/4
7
11
OR 68
10/1
Florida Dreams silks

Mr J Fyffe

8yo Gelding · 9-8

Doyen - First Line (Big Shuffle)

K Stott70%0/2A M Thomson
5358
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Grade 2 bumper winner at start of career. Fair form on first 2 starts switched to the Flat this summer. Failed to get back on the up on handicap debut upped to 2m last time. Needs to bounce back without the headgear this time.

Class Advantage

28/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/029/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par21/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength77%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 29%28/02Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 50%21/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%25/06Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 36%6/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.6%Ahead 3/4
2
7
OR 74
16/1
Helmsley silks

Alfa Site Services Ltd

4yo Filly · 10-0

New Bay - Pearl Of The Night (Sea The Stars)

Jason Hart60%0/4I Furtado
667625
4.0
Tongue strap

Backed up the promise of recent outings in first-time tongue strap when beaten only by a bang-in-form opponent at Chester in June. Failed to repeat that at Beverley next time. Well held in novice on hurdling debut at Sedgefield last week. Goes well in soft conditions and market probably best guide.

Class Advantage

14/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/02 · mark par14/0218/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par13/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/05 · mark par13/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par23/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par14/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 29%14/02Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 69%13/05Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%23/06Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 33%14/09
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.2%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 73
7/1
Northern Brave silks

Sekura Group

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Gleneagles - Huamulan (Wootton Bassett)

Connor Beasley60%0/3M Dods60%
107423
5.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Is well proven in the mud, winning novice at Ayr last winter and ran well when third in heavy-ground handicap at Beverley (1½m, heavy) 23 days ago. Cheekpieces go on for the first time and he's another that would appreciate more rain.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/1014/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par1/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/7 | Expected: 99%Pos 1 · SP 2/7 | Actual: 100%9/10Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 31%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%23/05Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%1/08Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%29/08
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 2/4
4
10
OR 73
25/1
Rewired silks

Mr K Everitt

8yo Gelding · 9-13

Power - Kekova (Montjeu)

J GarrittyT Davidson
194427
5.0Going 8.0

Won twice over hurdles at the beginning of last year. Off 16 months and found things happening too quickly when behind over an inadequate trip on return at Carlisle 12 days ago. Will be suited by this test though others make more appeal.

Class Advantage

1/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/02 · mark par1/023/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/03 · mark par25/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/03 · mark par9/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par9/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 9%1/02Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%25/03Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 50%25/05Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%9/09
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.1%Ahead 2/4
9
12
OR 66
100/1
Thequietman silks

Mrs Pip Waugh

5yo Gelding · 9-6

Farhh - Souila (Speightstown)

Amie WaughS Waugh
35998P
2.0
Hood

Hadn't gone on from a promising stable debut for David O'Meara last winter and was pulled up at Doncaster when last seen in June. Can only be watched on first run for yard having been sold for 2,000 gns since.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a14/1028/12 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/12 · mark par12/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/01 · mark par30/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/01 · mark par18/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/05 · mark par2/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par2/06projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readAT LEVEL
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength21%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 4f 15y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 80%14/10Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%12/01Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 27%18/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%2/06
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.5%Ahead 2/4