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17:43 · Churchill Downs

Race 3 - Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 82
9/5
Poppy Woppy silks

Lo, Charles, Lee, John J And Rosin, Coty W

Poppy Woppy

3yo Filly · 8-6

Mitole - Seaside Retreat (Blame)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Coty Rosin60%
855132
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

21/11 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/1115/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par7/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par3/06 · C9 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par10/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%21/11Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%15/04Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 60%7/05Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 50%10/07
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.7%Ahead 2/4
4
4
OR 87
4/1
Tizianna silks

Aveen Campion

Tizianna

3yo Filly · 8-6

Beau Liam - Radiant Ruby (Tale Of The Cat)

Edgar Morales60%1/5Helen Pitts
284383
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

30/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/11 · mark par30/118/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/01 · mark par6/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par11/07 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par7/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par10/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%30/11Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%6/06Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%7/08Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%10/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.0%Ahead 1/4
1
2
OR 80
9/2
Transatlantic silks

8:38 Racing

Transatlantic

4yo Filly · 8-9

Global Campaign - Ezpzylemonsqueezy (Lemon Drop Kid)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Kinnon Larose60%
1273
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a4/0725/05 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par25/0517/06 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par17/0617/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/08 · mark par17/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%4/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%25/05Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 7 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 14%17/06Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%17/08
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 4-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.6%Ahead 2/4
3
3
OR 84
6/1
No Time Left silks

Chris Duggan

No Time Left

3yo Filly · 8-6

Practical Joke - Gambiarra (Quality Road)

Jaime Torres60%Matt Williams
663344
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below3/01 · mark par3/0128/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par6/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par26/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 9 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%3/01Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 17%28/04Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 80%26/06Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 25%2/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 1/4
2
5
OR 70
8/1
Nut Bush City silks

Allied Racing Stable, Llc

Nut Bush City

3yo Filly · 8-6

Charlatan - Forest Lake (Forestry)

Axel Concepcion1/5W Calhoun80%
46177
4.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

14/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/0213/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par23/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par24/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/06 · mark par24/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 63%14/02Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%13/03Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%24/06Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%24/07
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.8%Ahead 1/4
5
6
OR 78
3/1
Nightmare Fuel silks

Haberman, Aaron, Haberman, Victoria And Siskin, Jeff

Nightmare Fuel

3yo Filly · 8-6

Spun To Run - Nightstand (Malibu Moon)

Francisco ArrietaDavid Fawkes60%
841774
5.0

Class Advantage

25/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0615/04 · C9 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par29/05 · C9 · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par12/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par17/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par17/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 8 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 22%25/06Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 40%15/04Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%29/05Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 33%17/07
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.1%Ahead 1/4