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18:13 · Churchill Downs

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming

6f3YO plusDIRT11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 98
9/2
Nonno silks

Vaccarezza Racing Llc, J And J Stables Llc, Greco, Eddie, Greco, Pat, Cloonan, Michael P , Jaffe, Scott And Vaccarezza, Michael

Nonno

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Army Mule - Lassie's Landing (Giant's Causeway)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Nicholas Vaccarezza60%
2
8.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/08 · C9 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 90%22/08
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +74.2%Ahead 1/1
5
3
OR 91
6/1
Dontworryboutnothn silks

David Jacobson

Dontworryboutnothn

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Munnings - Guilty Verdict (Medaglia D'oro)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%0/2David Jacobson
463243
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0416/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par25/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below25/05 · mark par5/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 57%25/04Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 6 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 17%16/07Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 50%25/05Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 86%5/07Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 67%25/07
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.9%Ahead 1/4
10
Market Fav5
OR 92
7/2
Quentin B silks

Baron Thoroughbreds, Llc

Quentin B

3yo Colt · 8-9

Promises Fulfilled - Eloweasel (City Zip)

Martin Garcia60%Dale Romans
52
6.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

25/01 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/0128/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/02 · mark par28/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%25/01Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 89%28/02
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.4%Ahead 1/2
7
Value2
OR 76
5/1
Gadget Play silks

Spendthrift Farm LLC

Gadget Play

3yo Colt · 8-9

Into Mischief - Golden Domer (Quality Road)

Luis Saez60%0/2Albert Stall70%
327
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
1st Blinkers +3

Class Advantage

31/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/0518/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par18/0723/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below23/08 · mark par23/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%31/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 88%18/07Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 0%23/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 10-11 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.6%Ahead 2/3
9
4
OR 83
12/1
Great Moment silks

Tamaroak Stable

Great Moment

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Flatter - Josaka (Smart Strike)

Edgar Morales60%0/1Gregory Foley
523635
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

15/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below15/02 · mark par15/0219/03 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/03 · mark par21/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par10/04 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/04 · mark par17/05 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par11/06 · C9 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%15/02Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 86%21/02Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%17/05Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%11/06
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.9%Ahead 2/4
11
8
OR 70
15/1
Sixer silks

Al Bianchi Racing, Llc, Oringer, Jay And Baytree Stables, Llc

Sixer

3yo Colt · 8-9

Runhappy - Expect Indy (Mr. Mabee)

Jaime Torres60%Riley Mott
52
5.0Class ↓2

Class Advantage

1/11 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a1/1110/12 · C7 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/12 · mark par10/12projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength68%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%1/11Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 83%10/12
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.3%Ahead 2/2
4
6
OR 84
8/1
Native Brew silks

MyRacehorse

Native Brew

3yo Colt · 8-9

Yaupon - Spanxamillion (Street Cry)

Axel ConcepcionSteven Asmussen
554
4.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

8/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/085/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼3
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%8/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%5/07
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.3%Ahead 0/2
6
9
10/1
Elvis Tony silks

Upson Downs Farm

Elvis Tony

3yo Colt · 8-9

Beau Liam - Paolina (Frosted)

Victor CarrascoBrian Lynch
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish8th of 1130% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength47%
8
11
OR 51
6/1
Ace In Hand silks

Fern Circle Stables And Br Thoroughbreds, Inc

Ace In Hand

3yo Colt · 8-9

Charlatan - Aguilera (Unbridled's Song)

Emmanuel Esquivel60%Kenneth McPeek60%
8
2.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

3/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength56%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.3%Ahead 0/1
2
7
OR 81
20/1
Big Boy Thunder silks

Greenhill Racing Stables, Inc

Big Boy Thunder

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Instagrand - Thunderstruck (Maclean's Music)

Summer Pauly60%0/6Jeffrey Greenhill
922262
5.0Class ↓3

Class Advantage

8/02 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below8/02 · mark par8/0213/03 · C9 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par15/06 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par6/08 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 6f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 11%8/02Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 88%15/06Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 55%6/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%2/09
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.6%Ahead 3/4
3
10
30/1
Why Not Fly silks

Ricardo Gonzalez

Why Not Fly

4yo Gelding · 8-12

Uncle Mo - Valadorna (Curlin)

J J MezaMichel Douaihy
No form3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

—
Projected finish11th of 110% of field
▬ NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend▬
Strength0%