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15:45 · Newmarket

Betway Bet 10 Get 40 Handicap

1m 1fGoing TBCClass 33YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 88
3/1
Waterford Castle silks

Aura Racing & Teme Valley

Waterford Castle

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Sea The Stars - Deise Blue (Dark Angel)

Billy Loughnane80%1/5G Boughey60%
227231
8.0Class ↓2Going 8.0
Blinkers

Placed in 4 handicaps this season, including when running right up to his best in first-time blinkers when third at Glorious Goodwood. Didn't have to improve when landing the odds back in a maiden at Yarmouth 6 weeks ago and he should remain competitive back in a handicap.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/04 · mark par15/049/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par8/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par31/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par13/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%15/04Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%18/06Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 80%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%31/07Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 100%13/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +17.7%Ahead 3/4
3
2
OR 88
10/3
Go Rimbaud silks

Mr George Strawbridge

Go Rimbaud

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Palace Pier - Featuring (Dansili)

R Havlin60%2/7J & T Gosden70%
151022
6.0
Blinkers

Twice a winner on all-weather this season and only just failed to add to his tally on the July Course (1m) last month. Decent second in a messy event at Kempton since and he remains of strong interest with this extra 1f expected to suit.

Class Advantage

8/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/04 · mark par8/0425/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par17/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength11%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%8/04Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 5 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 43%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Expected: 97%Pos 1 · SP 8/13 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 15 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%8/08Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 83%4/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.8%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 88
12/1
Flying Frontier silks

Mr Saeed Manana

Flying Frontier

6yo Horse · 10-0

Farhh - Alaia (Sinndar)

Rossa Ryan70%1/2J Tate100%
844877
3.0
1st Blinkers +3

Hold-up performer who was a narrow winner at Sandown last summer off 7 lb higher. Kept busier this season but has struggled to make a significant impact, never landing a blow at Doncaster latest. Blinkers now tried (in cheekpieces on penultimate start).

Class Advantage

21/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par21/0425/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par4/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par24/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par29/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par12/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%21/04Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 63%4/07Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%29/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 45%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +23.0%Ahead 3/4
2
5
OR 91
7/1
Joulany silks

Al Shaqab Racing, Amo Racing & Valmont

Joulany

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Sea The Stars - Kitcara (Shamardal)

Rob HornbyR M Beckett60%
24320
5.0
Tongue strap

800,000 gns buy who boasts strong novice/maiden form in the spring. Off since pulling too hard on handicap debut at Royal Ascot and is an intriguing contender dropping back in trip.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/0911/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/05 · mark par18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par18/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 88%5/09Pos 4 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 4 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 57%11/10Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%17/04Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 2 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 83%8/05Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 19 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%18/06
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.8%Ahead 1/4
7
6
OR 78
10/1
Mythical Guest silks

John Guest Racing

Mythical Guest

6yo Gelding · 9-4

Make Believe - Fonda (Quiet American)

Callum Shepherd70%2/6G G Margarson
934303
6.0

On a long losing run but was placed 6 times in 2025 and was a close third off this mark on the July Course this summer. Latest third at Yarmouth was just respectable.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/0610/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par14/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par4/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par15/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 33%19/06Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 71%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%18/07Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 8%4/09Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%15/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 3/4
9
4
OR 81
10/1
Be The Standard silks

Roudee Racing Bts I

Be The Standard

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Galiway - Africa (Dabirsim)

Oisin Murphy80%H Palmer60%
32145
5.0Going 9.0

Opened his account at the third attempt in Thirsk novice last summer. Well held in handicaps both starts since but he seemed stretched by 12.5f at Chester on his return in May. Off since.

Class Advantage

19/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a19/0715/08 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/10 · mark par7/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par7/05projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength15%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 40%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%19/07Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 83%15/08Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%29/08Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 25%4/10Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%7/05
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -18.3%Ahead 2/4
5
8
OR 87
13/2
Runswick silks

The Runswick Partnership

Runswick

3yo Colt · 9-8

Ghaiyyath - Belief (Le Havre)

R L Moore60%E A L Dunlop
032186
4.0

Still on the upgrade judged on his all-the-way win at Carlisle and wasn't seen to anything like best effect at Glorious Goodwood. Clearly not 100% on the July Course the following week but has been given a break since. Worth another chance with Ryan Moore an eye-catching booking.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1019/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par30/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 64%4/10Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%12/06Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 61%30/07Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%8/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -0.1%Ahead 3/4
6
7
OR 79
12/1
Silca Bay silks

Mr Jeremy Mark Webb

Silca Bay

4yo Gelding · 9-5

Cable Bay - Strictly Silca (Danehill Dancer)

Oliver Carmichael3/10−7lbEve Johnson Houghton70%
414157
5.0
Cheek pieces

Peaked this summer under this rider, winning at Goodwood before overcoming a pace bias over 1m on July Course. Excuses next 2 starts so he might not be done with yet.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/055/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par5/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par30/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 70%23/05Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%3/07Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%5/08Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%30/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.6%Ahead 2/4
8
10
OR 77
12/1
Mythical Bird silks

One More Moment of Madness

Mythical Bird

4yo Filly · 9-3

Phoenix Of Spain - Jellicle Ball (Invincible Spirit)

Saffie Osborne70%0/1H Morrison
003155
4.0

Doubled her tally for the season at Salisbury in August and not discredited when fifth next 2 starts. This tougher, however.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C3 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/069/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par2/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par18/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/09 · mark par18/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 23%12/06Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 67%20/07Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 20%2/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 43%18/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.0%Ahead 2/4
10
9
OR 78
16/1
Livemore silks

The Property Investor Partnership Ltd

Livemore

3yo Gelding · 8-13

Ulysses - Rock Choir (Pivotal)

Ray Dawson60%T Kent
516
5.0

All the better for debut when landing 6-runner novice on the July Course (1m), forging clear. However, that was a very weak race for the track and he struggled on his handicap bow at Newbury next time. Has since been gelded.

Class Advantage

31/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a31/0517/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a17/0726/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/08 · mark par26/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%31/05Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%17/07Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%26/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.7%Ahead 2/3