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20:22 · Churchill Downs

Race 8 - Allowance

5f 110yGoing TBC3YO plusTURF15 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 93
15/1
Balright silks

Old Oak Farm And Stable, Inc

Balright

3yo Filly · 8-8

Omaha Beach - Clara Allen (Curlin)

Rafael Bejarano60%1/1Jerry Dixon60%
1
10.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%22/08
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +100.0%Ahead 1/1
7
Market Fav6
OR 90
7/2
Mackinac silks

Bbn Racing, Llc

Mackinac

3yo Filly · 8-6

Twirling Candy - Violencia (Violence)

Luis Saez60%0/4George Arnold60%
21072
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a30/0728/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par3/10 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/10 · mark par29/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/11 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%30/07Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%28/08Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 10%3/10Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%29/11Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 91%30/08
Projected finish2nd of 1593% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.5%Ahead 3/4
14
4
OR 94
15/1
Zoe's Prime silks

Kevin Stedman

Zoe's Prime

5yo Mare · 8-9

Bolt D'oro - Petunia (Into Mischief)

Micah Meeks60%0/1−7lbJose Camejo60%
212643
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/02 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/0213/03 · C7 · finish vs mark above13/03 · mark par13/0312/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/04 · mark par12/0431/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 91%18/02Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%13/03Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 86%12/04Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 71%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1586% of fieldRange 2-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.8%Ahead 4/4
15
Top Pick1
OR 94
20/1
Storm Cloud Rising silks

Bryan Carney

Storm Cloud Rising

3yo Filly · 8-6

Runhappy - Demigoddess (First Dude)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Andres Cambray60%
691451
7.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0626/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par26/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par21/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par10/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 11th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%12/06Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%26/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 5 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 43%21/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%10/09
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength23%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.8%Ahead 3/4
2
3
OR 96
12/1
Sweet Sissone silks

Saints Or Sinners

Sweet Sissone

3yo Filly · 8-6

Twirling Candy - Amazing Shoes (Empire Maker)

Tyler Gaffalione60%Gregory Foley60%
7145
6.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

18/01 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a18/014/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/065/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par5/077/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par7/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%18/01Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%5/07Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 43%7/08
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.0%Ahead 1/4
5
11
OR 100
5/1
Shirley Ann silks

Clarke Vesty

Shirley Ann

4yo Filly · 8-9

Outwork - Hey Paige (Stay Thirsty)

Joseph BealmearClarke Vesty
351362
6.0

Class Advantage

25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/08 · mark par25/0829/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below29/09 · mark par28/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/10 · mark par10/07 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a1/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par31/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%25/08Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%28/10Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%1/08Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 4/7 | Actual: 86%31/08
Projected finish6th of 1564% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.6%Ahead 2/4
1
9
OR 96
6/1
Mechaya silks

Doubledown Stables, Inc

Mechaya

4yo Filly · 8-9

Liam's Map - Malibu Rainbow (Malibu Moon)

Francisco Arrieta1/2James DiVito
392264
6.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

10/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par10/0531/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par28/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above28/08 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par31/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength73%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 83%10/05Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 9 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 91%28/08Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 89%Pos 6 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 6 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 38%31/07Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 4 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 67%5/09
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.5%Ahead 1/4
11
10
OR 94
8/1
Debt Free silks

Klein Racing

Debt Free

4yo Filly · 8-9

Not This Time - Break Even (Country Day)

Brian Jr Hernandez0/1Conor Murphy
653152
6.0

Class Advantage

7/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par7/0415/05 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par23/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/08 · mark par24/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below24/09 · mark par14/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par14/12projClass-projected finish: 7th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 44%7/04Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 64%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%14/07Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%24/09Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%14/12
Projected finish8th of 1550% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.6%Ahead 2/4
9
12
OR 95
8/1
Moonlight Dash silks

Rigney Racing Llc

Moonlight Dash

4yo Filly · 8-9

Maclean's Music - Moon Dash (Malibu Moon)

Yedsit Hazlewood60%Philip Bauer
152234
6.0

Class Advantage

9/11 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a9/1120/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/12 · mark par21/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par21/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par13/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/09 · mark par13/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%9/11Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 5 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%21/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 71%21/08Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 63%13/09
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 103
9/2
Beach Heist silks

Redeemer Racing

Beach Heist

3yo Filly · 8-6

Omaha Beach - Pearl Heist (Graydar)

Axel Concepcion0/1William Walden60%
13227
6.0

Class Advantage

17/10 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a17/107/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/11 · mark par31/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par5/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below8/08 · mark par8/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 14
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%17/10Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%7/11Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%31/05Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 83%5/07Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 14%8/08
Projected finish10th of 1536% of fieldRange 11-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength9%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.9%Ahead 0/4
13
8
OR 86
7/2
Now Or Nevermore silks

Banks, Chris And Larner, Kyle

Now Or Nevermore

3yo Filly · 8-8

Honest Mischief - Celebrate Now (Street Cry)

Mitchell Murrill60%0/1Chris Banks60%
18
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓5

Class Advantage

1/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a1/0829/08 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 14
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼2
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%1/08Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%29/08
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength22%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +48.4%Ahead 2/2
3
7
OR 103
10/1
Cactus Cairo silks

Shagbark Farm Llc

Cactus Cairo

3yo Filly · 8-6

Cairo Prince - Cactus Kris (Cactus Ridge)

D E Sheehy1/1Ryan Walsh60%
12
7.0

Class Advantage

21/03 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a21/031/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 100%21/03Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/6 | Actual: 80%1/09
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 15-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.8%Ahead 1/2
10
13
OR 89
20/1
Dashin' Diva silks

Norman Stables Llc

Dashin' Diva

4yo Filly · 8-9

Caracaro - Giants Diva (Giant's Causeway)

Gerardo CorralesLonnie Briley
616430
4.0

Class Advantage

18/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/0810/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/09 · mark par3/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par14/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par10/01 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/01 · mark par30/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 17%18/08Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%3/10Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%10/01Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 9%30/08
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.2%Ahead 2/4
8
15
OR 80
30/1
Mystic Realm silks

Spud Nuts Racing

Mystic Realm

3yo Filly · 8-6

Mendelssohn - Magic Humor (Distorted Humor)

Adam Beschizza0/1E F Vaughan
6416
3.0Going 8.0

Class Advantage

24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark n/a24/089/10 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/10 · mark par9/1020/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/07projClass-projected finish: 13th of 14
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 55%24/08Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 50%9/10Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 29%20/07
Projected finish14th of 157% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength15%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.0%Ahead 2/3
12
14
OR 74
30/1
Lindy Can silks

Hiser, James W And Hiser, Sara A

Lindy Can

4yo Filly · 8-9

Kantharos - Northern Michigan (Broken Vow)

Summer PaulyDana Hancock
363371
4.0

Class Advantage

4/07 · C9 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/072/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par13/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/10 · mark par7/05 · C9 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par2/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par4/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 14th of 14
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲2
Strength4%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 5f 110y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%4/07Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 55%13/10Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 82%2/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%4/07
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 1/4