13:22 · Naas

Irish Stallion Farms EBF (C & G) Maiden

5f 205yYielding (Good to Yielding in places)2YO onlyTURF12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
12
Market FavTop Pick1
1/1
Salt Lake silks

Amo Racing Ltd & Valmont

2yo Colt · 9-5

Persian Force - Lady Aria (Kodiac)

Donagh O'Connor60%Robson Aguiar
2
8.0

Made a promising debut when second of 16 in maiden at the Curragh (7f) last month, collared on the line by an exciting prospect (winner has finished runner-up in the National Stakes since). The one to beat with improvement to come.

Class Advantage

22/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a22/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f 205y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 2 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 93%22/08
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +67.0%Ahead 1/1
10
Value2
5/1
Our Boy Bailey silks

Woodridge Stables Limited

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Bayside Boy - Zaafran (Singspiel)

Shane Foley60%0/3Mrs J Harrington60%
207
4.0Class ↓7

Showed plenty to work on first time up when second in maiden at Roscommon (7.5f) in May. Unsuited by the drop back to 6f in the Windsor Castle at Royal Ascot, before clearly not 100% when well held at Galway. Worth another chance to build on debut promise.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a11/0517/06 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/0627/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a27/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength35%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 33%Dist: 5f 205y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 89%11/05Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 58%17/06Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%27/07
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.5%Ahead 2/3
4
4
OR 80
10/3
Bold Commander silks

Derrick Smith & Mrs John Magnier & Michael Tabor

2yo Colt · 9-5

No Nay Never - Alphabet (Lawman)

Ronan Whelan60%A P O'Brien
5255
4.0

Fifth of 8 in a strong maiden at the Curragh (6f) on debut, the third the recent winner of the National Stakes. Improved second at Bellewstown (5f) next time but hasn't progressed in 2 subsequent outings, the latest on nursery debut at Galway (7f). Still commands respect.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/053/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a3/0719/07 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a19/0730/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places) · 25%Dist: 5f 205y · 75%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%23/05Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 86%3/07Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 60%19/07Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%30/07
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -27.6%Ahead 0/4
2
6
10/1
Bengal Tiger silks

Smith,Magnier,Tabor,Westerberg,O'Brien

2yo Colt · 9-5

No Nay Never - On Ice (Galileo)

J Cleary0/1−5lbA P O'Brien70%
0
2.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Very much in need of the experience on debut when twelfth of 19 in maiden at the Curragh (6f) in August, though made late headway. Step up in trip should suit with cheekpieces now added.

Class Advantage

9/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 39%9/08
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength67%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +38.9%Ahead 1/1
6
3
20/1
Domenico Force silks

Kiva Cromwell

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Persian Force - Jolyne (Makfi)

Gary CarrollG P Cromwell80%
No form3.0

Foaled March 13. 48,000 gns yearling, Persian Force gelding. Half-brother to 2-y-o 6f winner Yy Spirit. Dam, 7f winner, half-sister to smart winner up to 1m Neebras. Worth a check in the betting.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 1264% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
9
7
14/1
Orchard Promise silks

Simon Chappell

2yo Colt · 9-5

Showcasing - Jameerah (Dansili)

Gavin RyanD Dias
No form3.0

Foaled February 15. Showcasing colt. Half-brother to 2 winners, including 5f winner Proclivity. Dam, 6f winner (including at 2 yrs), closely related to smart sprinter Fighter Pilot. Watch for market clues.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish6th of 1255% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength26%
8
10
16/1
Moon Sand silks

Barry Fowler

2yo Colt · 9-5

Sea The Moon - Laylana (Footstepsinthesand)

J M Sheridan60%J P O'Brien
99
2.0

Looks to have been brought along gradually in a pair of maidens at the Curragh so far, never involved dropped back to 1m when ninth of 13 on latest outing 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0829/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f 205y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 11%16/08Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 33%29/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.2%Ahead 2/2
5
5
50/1
Come On Noddy silks

Alan Sheridan

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Profitable - Gullible (Make Believe)

Ben Coen70%M Mulvany60%
9
2.0

Made an unpromising debut when last of 9 in maiden at Navan (5f) in June, very slowly away. Now tried up in trip after 3 months off (has been gelded).

Class Advantage

7/06 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a7/06
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Yielding (Good to Yielding in places)Dist: 5f 205y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%7/06
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1
3
8
20/1
Blimey silks

Wood Hall Stud Limited

2yo Colt · 9-5

Churchill - Tardis (Time Test)

Billy Lee60%E Lynam60%
No form3.0

Foaled January 14. Churchill colt. Dam 2-y-o 5f/5.7f winner. Stable's first 2-y-o runner of the campaign.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish9th of 1227% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
1
9
33/1
Arizona Storm silks

Ms T Hayes

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Arizona - Spirit Of An Angel (Dark Angel)

Seamie HeffernanJ Nash
No form3.0

Foaled April 15. Arizona gelding. Dam unraced out of maiden half-sister to useful 2-y-o 6f winner (stayed 1m) Redact. Rare 2-y-o runner for yard.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish10th of 1218% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
7
11
33/1
Habu silks

M J Tynan

2yo Colt · 9-5

Arizona - Coto (Fast Company)

Orla Tynan60%−7lbM J Tynan
No form3.0

Foaled April 21. Arizona colt. Half-brother to useful 2-y-o 5f winner Coto de Caza. Dam 5f winner (including at 2 yrs). Bred to be sharp, though yard doesn't have many juvenile runners.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish11th of 129% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
11
12
20/1
Sahara Ace silks

Adrian McGuinness

2yo Colt · 9-5

Sands Of Mali - Bilderberg (Big Bad Bob)

Adam Caffrey60%A McGuinness
No form3.0

Foaled February 28. €38,000 yearling, €70,000 2-y-o, Sands of Mali colt. Half-brother to winner up to 6f Too Hard To Hold. Dam, 6f winner, sister to useful 7f winner (stayed 9f) Berg Bahn. May just be better for this first experience.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish12th of 120% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%