8
Native Ruler
3yo Colt · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
5%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼3
Strength77%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: +2.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Saint-Malo | 5 | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Nancy | ? | 1st | -3th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 9-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -47.7% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 28/08/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |