15:55 · Southwell

attheraces.com/marketmovers Handicap (Div 1)

1m 13yStandardClass 43YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap11 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
Market Fav2
OR 78
3/1
Kalokalo silks

Mr D J M Rees

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Space Blues - Still Sky (Dansili)

Jason Watson70%2/5C Hills
312130
6.0Going 7.0

Readily gained a second win of 2026 over C&D in July. Not in quite same form either start since but remains fairly treated if return to this venue sees him back to his best following a gelding operation.

Class Advantage

15/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par15/051/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par20/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par13/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par30/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength33%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 85%15/05Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 2 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 75%20/06Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 71%13/07Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 33%30/07
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.9%Ahead 2/4
1
3
OR 87
11/2
Londoner silks

Mr Alan Kerr

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Saxon Warrior - Gilt Edge Girl (Monsieur Bond)

David Probert70%1/1D & C Kubler60%
954242
6.0Going 8.0Class ↓3
Cheek pieces

Sole success this year came at Lingfield in April but he has largely acquitted himself well in defeat since, latest when second of 12 in handicap at Wolverhampton (1m) 15 days ago. One for the shortlist.

Class Advantage

28/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par28/0529/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/08 · mark par7/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength74%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 11%28/05Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%23/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%12/08Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 91%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 1190% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.2%Ahead 1/4
8
Top Pick1
OR 78
17/2
Talis Evolvere silks

Mrs B Austin & Partner

6yo Gelding · 9-7

Awtaad - My Henrietta (Henrythenavigator)

S M Levey70%2/9R Hannon80%
276650
3.0Going 8.0

Made winning start to 2026 over this C&D but not been able to add to that success since, proving disappointing at Chepstow latest. Mark continues to tumble, though.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0620/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/08 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 2 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 86%12/06Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 38%18/07Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%19/08Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 40%31/08
Projected finish3rd of 1180% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -42.1%Ahead 0/4
5
5
OR 86
17/2
Firefall silks

Leven Stables Ltd

3yo Colt · 9-11

Kingman - Flare Of Firelight (Birdstone)

O J Orr60%0/1E Bethell60%
19827
4.0Class ↓3
1st Hood +1

Quite useful form for the Fabre stable in France and may have needed the outing, back from 2 months off, when seventh of 9 on yard/handicap debut at Ripon (1m, soft) 22 days ago. Hood on first time. This run should reveal more.

Class Advantage

10/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a10/117/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength81%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 20%Dist: 1m 13y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 100%10/11Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%7/04Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 22%27/04Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 83%24/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 25%31/08
Projected finish4th of 1170% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.0%Ahead 2/4
7
4
OR 83
9/2
Darn Hot Gallop silks

Mr Jaber Abdullah

3yo Filly · 9-8

Too Darn Hot - Contribution (Champs Elysees)

H Crouch60%3/4J Tate80%
110065
3.0Class ↓4Going 7.0

Won a pair of all-weather events in November and took a big step forward on handicap debut when scoring at Newmarket on return. Below that level next 3 starts but took a step back in the right direction when fifth in Kempton handicap (1m) last month. Claims if building on that.

Class Advantage

22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a22/1114/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/04 · mark par3/05 · C0 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/05 · mark par19/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par17/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%22/11Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 17 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 11%3/05Pos 17 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 17 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 45%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%17/07Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%19/08
Projected finish5th of 1160% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength37%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.8%Ahead 3/4
6
8
OR 84
6/1
Politely silks

Ailesbury Court

3yo Filly · 9-9

Advertise - Courtesy (Uncle Mo)

Callum Rodriguez60%Owen Burrows
951159
4.0Going 7.0

Won back-to-back races on all-weather in March and April for Martyn Meade but has proved somewhat disappointing on turf since. Bit to prove on first start for new connections here.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a12/064/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a17/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/04 · mark par9/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/05 · mark par19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/06 · mark par19/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 0%12/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%20/03Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%9/05Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 11%19/06
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength82%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +16.6%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 86
50/1
Carron silks

Mdp Racing And Mrs R Carr

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Invincible Spirit - Waikuku Beach (Most Improved)

Ray DawsonMrs R Carr
610820
4.0Going 8.0

Three-time scorer in 2025 who raised his game further for George Boughey this year, resuming winning ways at Newcastle (1m) in March and back on the up when second at Yarmouth (1m) in June. Proved disappointing on debut for new yard at this course last month, though.

Class Advantage

6/02 · C0 · finish vs mark n/a6/026/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par28/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par2/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above2/05 · mark par10/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 13y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 6 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 67%6/02Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 14 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 38%28/03Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 90%10/06Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%27/08
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 7-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 3/4
11
11
OR 75
10/1
Illy's Roo silks

The Mammoth Pack Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-0

Australia - Illykato (Toronado)

C J Whiteley60%−5lbG Tutty
715499
4.0Going 8.0

Made a winning start for current yard at this course (7f) in March and added 1m York victory in July. Not really threatened since, however, and others appeal more.

Class Advantage

5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par5/0610/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par11/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 11
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%5/06Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%24/07Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 77%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 56%6/09Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 50%11/09
Projected finish8th of 1130% of fieldRange 3-11 · 68%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength41%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 2/4
3
7
OR 87
13/2
Shipbourne silks

Juddmonte

3yo Gelding · 9-12

Frankel - Special Duty (Hennessy)

Rossa Ryan70%1/2R M Beckett60%
13109
4.0

Impressive debut winner at Newbury last October and built on that at the second attempt when winning Doncaster novice on reappearance. Shaped as if amiss in a couple of starts since, however, and has something to prove at present.

Class Advantage

24/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/101/12 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par9/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par3/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength12%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 20%Dist: 1m 13y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 100%24/10Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 82%1/12Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 1 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 13 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 13 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 9 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 20%3/09
Projected finish9th of 1120% of fieldRange 8-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -37.2%Ahead 1/4
9
9
OR 78
33/1
King Of Fury silks

Mrs K S Pratt & M Dods

6yo Gelding · 9-7

Starspangledbanner - Bequia (Helmet)

Sean Kirrane60%2/8M Dods
471190
4.0

Registered back-to-back course victories (both 7f) in July but has rather gone backwards since and is tough to recommend at present.

Class Advantage

8/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par8/0618/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below18/06 · mark par5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par27/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par27/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 10th of 11
Class readPROGRESSIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 13y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%8/06Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%5/07Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 9 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 11%19/08Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 10 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 10%27/08
Projected finish10th of 1110% of fieldRange 4-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 3/4
4
10
OR 82
40/1
Clouds Hill silks

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

4yo Colt · 9-11

Cracksman - Calare (Dubawi)

Daniel Muscutt70%C Johnston80%
139087
2.0
1st Blinkers +3

Improved to make a successful reappearance at Yarmouth in April and bettered that form when very good third of 11 at Newbury (1¼m) next time. Nowhere near that form since, though, and no surprise to see blinkers reached for.

Class Advantage

30/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par30/0415/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par25/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par13/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/08 · mark par13/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 11
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength40%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 13y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%30/04Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 9 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 11%25/05Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 7 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 14%13/08
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -50.2%Ahead 0/4