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14:40 · Warwick

Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3m 1f 100yGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 34YO plusTURFHandicap3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
2
OR 126
3/1
Snipe silks

Foxtrot Racing Snipe

Snipe

9yo Gelding · 11-7

Soldier Of Fortune - Pisces (Halling)

Harry Skelton80%3/15D Skelton80%
141624
5.0Class ↓2

Two hunter chase wins this year and also a creditable sixth in the Aintree Foxhunter in April. Easy to back and not knocked about on first run for 4 months at Worcester recently and may find this sharpening him up further. The betting could guide.

Class Advantage

26/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/01 · mark par26/0112/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/02 · mark par6/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/03 · mark par9/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par27/05 · C3 · finish vs mark below27/05 · mark par10/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m 1f 100y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%26/01Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 4/5 | Actual: 100%6/03Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 67%27/05Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%10/09
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.6%Ahead 2/4
2
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 132
1/1
Dunkerque silks

Mr Shaun Henley

Dunkerque

6yo Gelding · 11-13

Appel Au Maitre - Silver Seas (Pour Moi)

Sean Quinlan80%3/8J Candlish60%
111212
8.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Has thrived over fences this summer, scoring 4 times in small-field contests at up to 23f, and would have won again in a match at Perth a fortnight ago but for a late wobble. Can feature if he stays this new trip.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par11/0524/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/05 · mark par3/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/06 · mark par20/07 · C3 · finish vs mark below20/07 · mark par20/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par7/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 3m 1f 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%11/05Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%3/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%20/08Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 0%7/09
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.7%Ahead 2/4
4
3
OR 112
9/4
Fever Dream silks

Bedford & Noel & The Can't Say No

Fever Dream

8yo Gelding · 10-7

Sholokhov - O What A Girl (Anshan)

Jack Tudor4/16Christian Williams
554215
5.0
Tongue strap

Built on encouraging return effort when winning 3m handicap chase here in March and still looked ahead of his mark upped to marathon trip at Perth the following month (every chance turning in but faded). Has had a breathing operation since and could make a successful return.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C3 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/0912/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/10 · mark par21/10 · C3 · finish vs mark below21/10 · mark par14/03 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/03 · mark par26/03 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par24/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 33%Dist: 3m 1f 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%16/09Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 0%21/10Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 100%26/03Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%24/04
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.8%Ahead 2/4