18:30 · Southwell

Free Tips Daily On attheraces.com Handicap

2m 102yStandardClass 63YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 58
11/4
Fabled Spirit silks

Hambleton Racing Lviii & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Phoenix Of Spain - Fairly Fair (Sinndar)

L Morris70%0/1A Watson60%
080321
6.0Going 7.0
Cheek pieces

Gained a deserved first win in 6-runner handicap at Lingfield (2m, all-weather) 19 days ago. Showed a good attitude there so he's very much one to consider on his tapeta debut with few miles still on the clock.

Class Advantage

25/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a25/056/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength66%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 2m 102y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 11 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 9%25/05Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 25%15/06Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 89%8/08Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 100%3/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.5%Ahead 3/4
7
Market Fav3
OR 57
5/4
Last Flight silks

Mr S Fustok

3yo Filly · 9-4

Masar - Always Remembered (Galileo)

Daniel Muscutt70%0/1James Horton
775331
7.0

Improved since switched to handicaps and upped in trip, getting off the mark in 7-runner event at Ffos Las (2m, good) 26 days ago. Up 3 lb but can make another bold bid with her stamina assured.

Class Advantage

27/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/0422/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par7/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 2m 102y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 45%27/04Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 56%16/06Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 78%8/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%27/08
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +33.5%Ahead 4/4
9
5
OR 54
7/2
Sir Griflet silks

Mr Paul Goonan

3yo Gelding · 9-1

Camelot - Alta Anna (Anabaa)

S M Levey70%Dylan Cunha80%
600433
5.0Class ↓4
1st Blinkers +31st Tongue Strap +2

Still to get his head in front but posted a pair of solid efforts to make the frame in 2m all-weather Lingfield handicaps. Well-held third on soft ground at Chester (2m) last time but no surprise to see him bounce back in first-time blinkers.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/0625/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength57%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 2m 102y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 29%11/06Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 12 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%30/07Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 60%3/09Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%11/09
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 2/4
2
Top Pick1
OR 57
20/1
Further Measure silks

Ms Denise Tibbett

9yo Gelding · 9-13

English Channel - Price Tag (Dansili)

K T O'Neill0/2M Murphy70%
447565
4.0
Cheek pieces

Won over 2m at Kempton in February but hasn't seriously threatened since, beating just one in handicap at Lingfield (2m, all-weather) 19 days ago.

Class Advantage

24/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above24/02 · mark par24/0219/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/05 · mark par10/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par27/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/07 · mark par18/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength64%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 2m 102y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%24/02Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%10/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%18/08Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%3/09
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.3%Ahead 2/4
3
4
OR 59
6/1
Lady Of Clover silks

Fellowship Racing Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-6

Kodi Bear - Lucky Sister (Free Eagle)

Liam Wright60%2/4George Scott60%
314314
6.0
Hood

Took her form up a notch to double her tally in Lingfield handicap (1½m, all-weather) in August. Not discredited off 7 lb higher with fourth of 7 there (1¼m) 19 days ago. Not out of things if her stamina holds out over 2m.

Class Advantage

21/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/04 · mark par21/042/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/06 · mark par10/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/06 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par3/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/09 · mark par3/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength46%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 75%21/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 67%10/06Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%22/08Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%3/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength29%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.5%Ahead 1/4
5
7
OR 57
150/1
Rogue Desire silks

Stoneleigh Racing Lll

3yo Filly · 9-4

Lucky Vega - Gaita (Teofilo)

George Wood60%Jack Morland
35755
3.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Has yet to build on last autumn's debut third for Jack Jones, undergoing a breathing operation before second run for new yard when last of 5 in handicap at Kempton (11f) 20 days ago. Steps up markedly in trip here.

Class Advantage

14/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a14/084/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par2/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move2
Strength80%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 71%14/08Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 43%4/04Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%23/04Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%4/06Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.9%Ahead 2/4
6
6
OR 57
25/1
Head Girl silks

Nicholas Jones & Partner

3yo Filly · 9-4

Time Test - Great And Small (Galileo)

Rob Hornby0/1J G Portman60%
793912
6.0
Cheek pieces

Capitalised on the drop into selling company when a breakthrough winner at Beverley (1½m) in July. Backed it up with a very good second of 8 in handicap at Chepstow (1½m, soft) 24 days ago. Well in the mix if lasting out over this much longer trip.

Class Advantage

30/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/1027/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/04 · mark par30/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par1/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par29/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength52%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 40%30/10Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 9 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%30/05Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 11%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%28/07Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 86%29/08
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 6-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.5%Ahead 2/4
10
8
OR 45
150/1
Stopherandgo silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

9yo Mare · 9-1

Aizavoski - Bonjour Bella (Gold Well)

Zoe Lewis60%−7lbD Flood
0746
4.0

Winning hurdler in 2023. Poor form over hurdles and fences for Kevin Pickard since and has shown nothing in 4 starts on the Flat this summer for current handler. Makes tapeta/handicap debut.

Class Advantage

25/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/11 · mark par25/119/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par8/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move2
Strength86%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 2m 102y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 36%25/11Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 250/1 | Actual: 0%8/07Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 25%21/08Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 17%7/09
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 7-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 3/4
8
9
OR 45
40/1
Galahad Threepwood silks

Rhs Ltd

9yo Gelding · 9-1

Nathaniel - Tesary (Danehill)

Greg Fairley70%0/2Ewan Whillans60%
357786
3.0Going 8.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

On a long losing run and he has looked out of sorts since this summer returning from a 13-month absence, cheekpieces tried when sixth of 12 in handicap at Newcastle last time.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/047/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par17/06 · C6 · finish vs mark below17/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength59%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 2m 102y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 58%11/04Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 0%17/06Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 13%31/07Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 55%20/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 3/4