13:47 · Fontwell

City Electrical Factors Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

2m 3f 104yGoodClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 113
5/2
Lermoos Legend silks

Mr Jonathan Martin

11yo Gelding · 11-3

Midnight Legend - Absalom's Girl (Saddlers' Hall)

S Bowen80%9/32M Bowen80%
627322
8.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Won twice around this time last year, including over C&D and also fourth in this race. Left the impression he should have finished closer still when third of 6 in handicap chase at Cartmel in July and pair of runner-up efforts since confirm he's in top form.

Class Advantage

14/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/10 · mark par14/1021/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below21/04 · mark par22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par8/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 3f 104y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%14/10Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 7 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 25%22/05Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%29/08Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 75%8/09
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength80%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.0%Ahead 1/4
4
Market Fav2
OR 112
9/4
American Land silks

Brocade Racing

8yo Gelding · 11-2

Malinas - Golan Annie (Golan)

Brendan Powell60%4/13J Tizzard70%
11442P
7.0
Tongue strap

Hasn't always looked the most straightforward but has a fine strike rate in handicaps, winning 5 times overall over hurdles. Didn't look happy from a long way out at Newton Abbot in June and off since but he's had a breathing operation and the assessor has given him a big chance back chasing.

Class Advantage

23/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/04 · mark par23/0414/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par4/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par18/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par2/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/04 · mark par24/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par24/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 3f 104y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%23/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 1 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 73%2/04Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%24/04
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +28.8%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 120
5/2
Tapley silks

The Plumpton Party

9yo Gelding · 11-10

Geordieland - Cathodine Cayras (Martaline)

Caoilin QuinnG & J Moore60%
423134
6.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Opened chase account at Wincanton in November and doubled tally in another small-field affair at Stratford in March. Rare poor effort at latter track 2 months later and off since, leaving Suzy Smith in that time. More likely than not to bounce back given overall profile.

Class Advantage

28/11 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par28/1126/12 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/12 · mark par14/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/03 · mark par28/03 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/03 · mark par14/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below14/04 · mark par17/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/05 · mark par17/05projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 4
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 3f 104y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 50%28/11Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 89%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 60%14/03Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 33%14/04Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 4 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 40%17/05
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -28.5%Ahead 1/4
2
4
OR 114
7/2
Jet Smart silks

The Smart Partnership

8yo Gelding · 11-4

Jet Away - Cherry Island (Exit To Nowhere)

Bryan Carver2/8D Summersby60%
311222
7.0
Cheek pieces

Notched 2½m handicap chase double last summer. In good form when twice runner-up behind upwardly-mobile winners in May, latterly long way ahead of Lermoos Legend at Worcester and he stayed 23f well when occupying same spot 18 days ago.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/0923/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par17/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par2/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par4/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 4
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 3f 104y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%5/09Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%17/10Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 88%22/05Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 80%4/09
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.8%Ahead 3/4