15:25 · Beverley

Fango Handicap (Div 1)

7f 75yGoodClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Top Pick1
OR 73
3/1
Supreme Clarets silks

Mr A Tattersall & Partner

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Supremacy - Ms Sasha Malia (Verglas)

Warren Fentiman60%1/3−3lbR A Fahey60%
922411
9.0

It took him a while to get off the mark but now on a hat-trick after wins at Ayr (good to firm) and over C&D (heavy) last month. A further 3 lb rise seems unlikely to prevent a bold bid.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par21/0522/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par8/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 27%21/05Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 89%9/07Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 4 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%8/08Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 1 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 100%29/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength95%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.8%Ahead 3/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 81
15/8
Misunderstood silks

Mr M J Macleod & Mr S Graham

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Hello Youmzain - Waldjagd (Observatory)

D Tudhope60%0/3D O'Meara60%
774522
7.0Class ↓4
Hood

His smart 2-y-o form seems a thing of the past but his close seconds over C&D (heavy) and at Thirsk (good to soft) in recent weeks show he's down to a mark he can win from.

Class Advantage

6/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par6/0724/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 63%6/07Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 65%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 70%7/08Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 56%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%29/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%5/09
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength81%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.6%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 77
15/2
Vixey silks

Mr Allan Davies

6yo Mare · 9-11

Cable Bay - Valoria (Hernando)

Aiden Brookes4/22S G West
820354
6.0Going 10.0

C&D winner. Shaped as if still in good form when fourth of 8 in handicap at Chester (7.6f, good to soft, 9/2) 10 days ago. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage

24/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par24/0611/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par28/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par7/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above7/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par12/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%24/06Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 88%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 15%28/07Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 80%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 5 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%22/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 57%12/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength92%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +30.5%Ahead 3/4
2
6
OR 81
8/1
Count Palatine silks

Anne Elliott And M Dods

5yo Gelding · 10-1

Profitable - Sovana (Desert King)

Connor Beasley60%2/9M Dods
030616
5.0Class ↓3

Produced a career best when scoring at Carlisle (7f, good to soft) last month. Stamina stretched over 8.5f here on heavy since and should find this test more suitable.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par16/0530/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par30/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 25%16/05Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 3 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 32%12/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 44%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%19/08Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 50%30/08
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.7%Ahead 4/4
8
7
OR 74
16/1
Cotai Eye Joe silks

Ursa Major Racing & Alfa Site Services

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Cotai Glory - Apadana (Footstepsinthesand)

Jason Hart60%I Furtado
33104
5.0

Took a step forward when opening his account in 11-runner maiden at Wolverhampton (7f) in April. Better effort in handicaps since when fourth of 13 over 7f at Doncaster (good to firm) in June. Claims if fully primed after 3 months off (has had a breathing operation).

Class Advantage

16/02 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/0212/03 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/04 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength16%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 20%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 50%16/02Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%12/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%27/04Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 42%23/05Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 75%20/06
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.2%Ahead 3/4
7
4
OR 74
18/1
This Farh silks

David Lowe

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Far Above - This Girl (Nathaniel)

Jack Callan60%D Loughnane60%
614145
6.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Back to winning ways when making all at Leicester in April and went in again over C&D (good to firm) in May. Off since a disappointing effort back here in June.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/0313/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/04 · mark par9/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/05 · mark par27/05 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par23/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/06 · mark par23/06projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 6 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 44%20/03Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 25%9/05Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%6/06Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 20%23/06
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.8%Ahead 2/4
4
8
OR 77
16/1
Mr King silks

Mr C H McGhie

6yo Gelding · 9-11

Kingman - Desert Snow (Teofilo)

D Nolan1/3G A Harker
067185
4.0
Hood

Back to form out of the blue to take advantage of a reduced mark at Thirsk (7f, good) in June. Has run creditably in defeat on both outings since and should remain competitive.

Class Advantage

11/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below11/10 · mark par11/107/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par16/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par22/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 7f 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 16 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 17%11/10Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%30/05Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 59%24/07Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 56%22/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.5%Ahead 2/4
10
5
OR 66
18/1
Coolree silks

Racing To Profit Syndicate & Partners

7yo Gelding · 9-0

Mondialiste - Quaich (Danehill)

Shane Gray60%0/2S England60%
624373
5.0
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Four wins over the extended 1m here but he was second over C&D in June. Another good effort here when third of 10 over 8.5f here (heavy) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0623/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%12/06Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 80%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 57%4/07Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 3 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 0%26/07Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 3 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 78%29/08
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -22.4%Ahead 1/4
1
9
OR 82
10/1
Yanifer silks

H & W Bethell

8yo Gelding · 10-2

Dandy Man - Fondie (Oasis Dream)

O McSweeney3/12H Bethell
900400
3.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap

Made all at Chester last summer but hasn't really fired in a handful of outings this season, including with a tongue strap added last time.

Class Advantage

4/10 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/10 · mark par4/1013/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par8/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par22/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 43%4/10Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 14 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 19%10/07Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%22/08Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength19%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.6%Ahead 1/4
6
10
OR 75
16/1
Mythical Phoenix silks

Mythical Phoenix Partnership

6yo Gelding · 9-9

Dandy Man - Ruby Girl (Fast Company)

D Allan60%0/1Miss J A Camacho
888065
2.0
Hood

Seventeen runs since last win in 2023. 33/1, fared better than of late when fifth of 9 at Thirsk (7f, good to soft) 17 days ago but posed no win threat.

Class Advantage

18/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/083/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/11 · mark par13/12 · C4 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par5/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par29/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/07 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 75y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%18/08Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%13/12Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%29/07Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.0%Ahead 1/4