IvyArcIvyArc
  1. home
  2. warwick
  3. race-1

12:55 · Warwick

Man Commercial Protection Novices' Handicap Chase (GBB Race)

3mGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 44YO plusTURFHandicap3 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Top Pick1
OR 117
13/8
Kiwi De Cotte silks

Hools & Forces Partnership

Kiwi De Cotte

6yo Gelding · 11-11

Estejo - Vahine De Cotte (Freedom Cry)

Harry Skelton80%2/4D Skelton80%
1P1315
6.0Class ↓1
Cheek pieces

Won both completed starts in points/shaped well in hunter chase on Rules debut and successful twice over hurdles at Market Rasen (23f) for new yard this summer, in first-time cheekpieces when beating 2 subsequent winners last month. Flopped at Bangor last time but could revive back chasing.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/0610/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a10/0715/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/084/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/09 · mark par4/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%19/06Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 3 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 71%10/07Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 1 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 100%15/08Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 0%4/09
Projected finish1st of 3100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength12%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -11.3%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav2
OR 108
11/8
Passengerontheship silks

John Birtles And Bill Allan

Passengerontheship

7yo Gelding · 11-2

Pillar Coral - Canto Creek (Beat All)

Jonathan England60%4/15S England
111157
5.0Going 10.0Class ↓1
Tongue strap

Brought up a quick-fire 5-timer in May/June (4 wins at Hexham). Poor runs at Cartmel the last twice but his solid jumping should stand him in good stead around Warwick and he shouldn't be written off back against the novices.

Class Advantage

6/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/06 · mark par6/0613/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par21/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par26/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par31/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 3
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%6/06Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 1 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%21/06Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 1 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 20%18/07Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 350% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -31.7%Ahead 2/4
2
3
OR 112
5/2
In The Trenches silks

Mr J McInerney

In The Trenches

6yo Gelding · 11-6

Kodiac - Bristol Fashion (Dansili)

Sean Quinlan80%J Candlish70%
521P47
4.0
1st Tongue Strap +2

Belatedly opened account in 19f Downpatrick maiden hurdle in June. Fair runs in handicaps the last twice and of a similar standard over fences. Probably on a fair mark starting out for new yard (bought from Gavin Cromwell 12,500gns last month) but has stamina to prove in first-time tongue tie.

Class Advantage

7/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below7/05 · mark par7/0515/05 · C11 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par5/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below5/06 · mark par14/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above14/06 · mark par24/07 · C11 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par3/08 · C11 · finish vs mark below3/08 · mark par3/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 3
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲6
Strength5%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 64%7/05Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 93%5/06Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 67%24/07Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 40%3/08
Projected finish3rd of 30% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.6%Ahead 4/4