14:57 · Fontwell

Setford Handicap Hurdle

2m 5f 164yGoodClass 44YO plusTURFHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
4
2
OR 105
7/2
Starshine Legend silks

The One To Six Syndicate

5yo Gelding · 11-9

Sea The Stars - Blissful Beat (Beat Hollow)

S Bowen80%1/4O Murphy70%
3571
6.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Fair middle-distance winner on the Flat who shaped nicely under a considerate ride when third on hurdles debut at Uttoxeter in June. Failed to build on that next 2 starts but cheekpieces on first time in this code and big career best when winning at Worcester. More to come upped further in trip.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/04 · mark par7/0411/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/05 · mark par4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a2/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a22/07 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 45%7/04Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 38%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%4/06Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 7 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 25%22/07Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 1 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 100%19/08
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.3%Ahead 2/4
3
Market Fav3
OR 106
3/1
Motazzen silks

Carol & Chris Jackson & Henrietta Knig

8yo Gelding · 11-10

Dubawi - Yaazy (Teofilo)

Brendan Powell60%2/14Miss H C Knight60%
518431
7.0Class ↓2
Cheek piecesTongue strap

Very much a Fontwell specialist, gaining fourth win here in 5-runner contest over 19f 2 weeks ago. Well positioned how things panned out on that occasion and up 4 lb but he's as effective at this trip and clearly demands respect.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0314/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below14/05 · mark par26/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/05 · mark par16/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par28/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 11/5 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 11/5 | Actual: 100%27/03Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%26/05Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 3 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%28/08Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4
1
Top Pick1
OR 112
7/2
Siam Park silks

Brocade Racing

7yo Gelding · 12-2

Sholokhov - Present Attraction (Presenting)

Rian Corcoran60%0/2−5lbJ Tizzard60%
42FU23
6.0Going 10.0
Tongue strap

Enthusiastic front runner with 3 wins to his name over fences. Jumping errors started to creep in over the larger obstacles and similar story over hurdles in May/June, for all he ran up to form when placed the last twice. Second breathing operation back from 3 months off.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par18/1017/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above17/11 · mark par9/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par24/03 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/03 · mark par28/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below28/05 · mark par12/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/06projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%18/10Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%9/03Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 80%28/05Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 33%12/06
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength49%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 1/4
6
5
OR 94
9/2
Atreides silks

The Chancers Partnership

8yo Gelding · 10-12

Califet - Wind And Reign (Scorpion)

Harriet Tucker−7lbN P Mulholland70%
635303
5.0Going 8.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Won back-to-back small-field handicap chase contests in December, latterly at this venue. Some creditable efforts over fences this summer and while he didn't justify strong market support over C&D from his lower hurdles mark 16 days ago, it wasn't a bad effort. Visor back on.

Class Advantage

22/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par22/0510/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par1/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par16/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par6/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 6 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 38%22/05Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 5 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 60%1/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 14%19/08Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 60%6/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength51%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.7%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 108
8/1
Bright Legend silks

The Cheeky Pups

6yo Gelding · 11-12

Zoustar - Alexiade (Montjeu)

Jack O'Neill0/2−7lbFaye Bramley
531057
3.0Class ↓3

Fairly useful across both codes at his best. Back on the up for current yard when making most of good opportunity at Sedgefield (2½m) before finishing well held in a competitive Punchestown handicap in late-April. Not in top form in either discipline this summer, though.

Class Advantage

25/02 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/02 · mark par25/021/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par28/04 · C11 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par19/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 86%25/02Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 8/11 | Actual: 100%Pos 17 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 17 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 30%28/04Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 33%19/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%29/08
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.4%Ahead 3/4
7
7
OR 94
11/1
Getaway With You silks

The Grand Cru Partnership

8yo Gelding · 10-12

Getaway - Dizzy Frizzy (Loup Sauvage)

Isabelle Ryder60%−5lbD Killahena & G McPherson
514457
3.0
Tongue strap

Ground-versatile sort who won 4 times around 2½m last season. Back in form when beaten 10½ lengths over a trip that perhaps stretched him at Stratford (3¼m) in April and with his return from 5 months off behind him, he should run much closer to form this time. On last winning mark.

Class Advantage

4/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/02 · mark par4/0221/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/02 · mark par1/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/03 · mark par6/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below6/04 · mark par19/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/04 · mark par10/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par10/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%4/02Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%1/03Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 56%19/04Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%10/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.3%Ahead 2/4
5
4
OR 103
12/1
Prairie Diamond silks

Martin Keighley Racing Club

7yo Gelding · 11-7

Diamond Boy - Siba De La Pampa (Astarabad)

Freddie Keighley60%1/2−5lbM Keighley60%
U4371P
6.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Better than ever in a first-time visor when winning 11-runner handicap hurdle at Wincanton (2½m, good) in April, racing clear having jumped more fluently than usual. Handicapper took a dim view with a hefty rise and he was brushed aside at Southwell 5 weeks later. Cheekpieces now tried.

Class Advantage

21/11 · C5 · finish vs mark above21/11 · mark par21/1128/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below28/11 · mark par14/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/12 · mark par17/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/01 · mark par9/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below9/03 · mark par1/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par1/04projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 67%Dist: 2m 5f 164y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 1 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 100%21/11Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 6 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 64%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 4 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 63%14/12Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%9/03Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%1/04
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength44%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +9.6%Ahead 3/4