13:55 · Listowel

Liam & Joan Healy Memorial Handicap

1m 1fGoing TBC3YO plusTURFHandicap18 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
Value2
OR 78
8/1
U S Navy Spearhead silks

Mrs Siobhain Fahey

3yo Filly · 9-8

U S Navy Flag - Gallope (Lope De Vega)

Jessica O'Gorman60%1/1−7lbP G Fahey
1
10.0

U S Navy Flag filly who sprang a surprise when winning 6-runner maiden at Tramore (1½m, good to soft) on debut just over 5 weeks ago, crucially handling the track better than the others. Makes the quick switch to a handicap but drop in trip not sure to suit.

Class Advantage

15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a15/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%15/08
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +94.7%Ahead 1/1
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 81
7/2
Resurgence silks

Ace Stud

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Too Darn Hot - Recover Me (Fastnet Rock)

Shane Foley60%0/2Mrs J Harrington60%
242
7.0Going 8.0

Promising when reaching the frame in maidens at the end of last summer and backed up those 12 months on when second of 13 in maiden at Navan (1m, good) just under 3 weeks ago. Upped further in trip and can progress again now handicapping.

Class Advantage

23/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/0816/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/092/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a2/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 92%23/08Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 67%16/09Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 92%2/09
Projected finish2nd of 1894% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength73%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.2%Ahead 2/3
17
4
OR 69
8/1
Justenzia silks

Varland Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-4

Ghaiyyath - Renzia (Sea The Stars)

Reserve 2D Hogan80%
200702
4.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Went without headgear and bounced back to best when second of 18 at Cork (1½m, good to soft) just over 3 weeks ago. First-time tongue tied applied but not sure to be in the same mood here. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

8/05 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par8/051/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par11/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par22/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below22/06 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par30/08 · C7 · finish vs mark above30/08 · mark par30/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 92%8/05Pos 15 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 15 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 7%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 11 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%11/06Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 44%30/07Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 94%30/08
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength96%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.3%Ahead 3/4
1
6
OR 79
6/1
Amplitude silks

Holmoak Stables & Kevin Duffy

4yo Gelding · 10-0

Invincible Army - Sallen (Oratorio)

Gary Carroll1/8J G Murphy
049334
5.0

Signed off last year with a maiden win at Gowran (9.5f) and has made the frame in handicaps 4 times this season, most recently when fourth of 13 at Roscommon (10.5f, good to soft) back in late-June. Yard going better now so not without each-way claims.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par3/0415/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par24/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below24/04 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par18/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/05 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par30/06projClass-projected finish: 4th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 18 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 18 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%3/04Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 73%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 9 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 47%24/04Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 85%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 80%18/05Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 75%30/06
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +20.3%Ahead 3/4
6
3
OR 74
10/1
Earls silks

Martin Sheridan

9yo Gelding · 9-9

Dream Ahead - Princess Pearlita (Manduro)

Jack KearneyG P Cromwell80%
222370
5.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Veteran who found only one too good for the third successive race at Killarney in July. May have possibly just gone off the boil based on both efforts last month but it's worth remembering he's won around here in the past.

Class Advantage

11/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below11/05 · mark par11/0510/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par30/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par31/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 17
Class readCOMPETITIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength37%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 92%11/05Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 86%13/07Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 7 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 54%18/08Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 9%31/08
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.1%Ahead 2/4
7
10
OR 73
12/1
Dragon Of Malta silks

Gzira Syndicate

9yo Gelding · 9-8

Dragon Pulse - Shraayef (Nayef)

Julian Pietropaolo1/6−7lbP F O'Donnell60%
080454
5.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Back-to-back winner here last September. Low-key start to 2026 but looks on the way back and is one to keep an eye on from a slipping mark, fourth of 14 at Roscommon (7.5f, good) last month. Worth chancing back up in trip.

Class Advantage

8/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below8/11 · mark par8/1119/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par31/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par10/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below10/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par18/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/08 · mark par18/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 15 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 30%8/11Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%31/05Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 71%28/07Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 77%18/08
Projected finish6th of 1871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +52.7%Ahead 3/4
18
8
OR 63
8/1
Khormor Syd silks

Dean Gordon

5yo Gelding · 8-12

Alhebayeb - Many Dreams (Kodiac)

Reserve 3G Scott
079221
8.0
Tongue strap

Confirmed previous promise when winning 17-runner handicap at Leopardstown (9f, soft) back in June, all out to hold on having led over 1f out. 4 lb rise not insurmountable so place claims if getting a run. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

22/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/09 · mark par22/0926/11 · C8 · finish vs mark below26/11 · mark par3/01 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a9/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/04 · mark par11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/06projClass-projected finish: 1st of 17
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength31%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 300/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 300/1 | Actual: 45%22/09Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 69%3/01Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 2 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 93%25/04Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%11/06
Projected finish7th of 1865% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength89%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +37.3%Ahead 4/4
15
5
OR 74
6/1
Royal Bones silks

Newtown Anner Stud Farm Ltd

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Lope De Vega - Lady Bones (Royal Applause)

Scott McCullagh0/1Mrs J Harrington60%
623
6.0Going 7.0

Progressing gradually and placed again having been well positioned when third of 21 in maiden at Navan (1¼m, good) just over a fortnight ago. Opening mark looks fair and comes from family that are particularly effective with cut in ground so shortlisted.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a23/051/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a1/085/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 64%23/05Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 91%1/08Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 90%5/09
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 5-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.6%Ahead 1/3
11
7
OR 72
20/1
Expound silks

Corner House Syndicate

7yo Gelding · 9-7

Ulysses - Entity (Shamardal)

Mel Sheridan−7lbD Hogan70%
540474
4.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2Tongue strap

Yet to fire this year but took a step back in the right direction when fourth of 9 at Clonmel (1¼m, good) 5 days ago. That was still a long way before his best however, so others are more appealing.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C7 · finish vs mark below13/03 · mark par13/031/04 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/04 · mark par25/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par8/05 · C8 · finish vs mark below8/05 · mark par15/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par16/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 13th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 69%13/03Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 4 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%25/04Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%15/08Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1853% of fieldRange 8-18 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.0%Ahead 2/4
4
9
OR 80
5/1
Iamimmaculate silks

Lance Bloodstock Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-10

Coulsty - Alphabetique (Zamindar)

N G McCullaghGerard O'Leary
012426
5.0Going 8.0

Left Daniel McLoughlin after scoring at Naas last September and ran well on a couple of handicaps to start this campaign. Not so good in a first-time tongue tie at Killarney (1m, good) last month but can bounce back returned to a handicap with equipment left off.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a16/0818/09 · C8 · finish vs mark n/a18/10 · C8 · finish vs mark below18/10 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par2/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/08 · mark par21/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 44%16/08Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%18/10Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 4 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 90%2/08Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 29%21/08
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength20%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.7%Ahead 2/4
8
15
OR 73
10/1
Java Wood silks

Peadar Kelly

6yo Gelding · 9-8

Requinto - Talkin Kate (Talkin Man)

Seamie Heffernan0/1K Smith
307148
4.0

Well on top at the finish when resuming winning ways at Gowran (1m) early this month. Shaped as if still in good form when fourth of 7 in minor event at Galway (8.5f, soft) just under a fortnight ago but not in the same form at Gowran on Saturday.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0628/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par1/09 · C7 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par8/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below8/09 · mark par19/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength9%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 86%12/06Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 31%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 1 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%8/09Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 46%19/09
Projected finish11th of 1841% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength50%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +19.4%Ahead 2/4
2
11
OR 79
20/1
Satono Chevalier silks

M K Flannery

8yo Gelding · 10-0

Invincible Spirit - Albisola (Montjeu)

Reese Holohan60%2/5−7lbM K Flannery60%
813006
3.0
Cheek pieces

Won at Navan (1¼m) in March on his final start for Aidan Melia and has added 2 wins for his current yard since, at Ballinrobe (13f) and Limerick (12.5f). Looks to have gone off the boil judged on his last few outings, though.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/06 · mark par1/0619/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par14/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below14/07 · mark par31/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par20/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par16/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 14th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 53%1/06Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%14/07Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 10%20/08Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 6 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%16/09
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 12-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.9%Ahead 4/4
5
16
OR 75
16/1
Titanium silks

Damian C Nolan & D P Kilmurray & Mrs Sheila Gavin & Kieran Clarke

7yo Gelding · 9-10

Zarak - Kyurem (Verglas)

Declan McDonogh60%Ciaran Murphy60%
510650
3.0
Cheek pieces

Successful over 1m at the Curragh last November but disappointing when last seen in the spring, most recently over hurdles. Will need to hit the ground running in reapplied cheekpieces.

Class Advantage

15/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/12 · mark par15/1220/02 · C8 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par15/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/03 · mark par28/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/03 · mark par3/04 · C8 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par15/05 · C10 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par15/05projClass-projected finish: 12th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 16 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 16 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%15/12Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 79%15/03Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 47%3/04Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 31%15/05
Projected finish13th of 1829% of fieldRange 2-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength40%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +35.5%Ahead 3/4
10
13
OR 72
25/1
Cala Bonita silks

S Gillen

4yo Filly · 9-7

Inns Of Court - Aalia (Teofilo)

Robbie Colgan2/8M J Smith60%
847190
3.0
Cheek pieces

Proved better than ever when winning 13-runner event at Galway (8.5f) in July, suited by strong pace. Not disgraced in a better race at Dundalk next time but ran one of this season's poorer races at Navan earlier in the month. Bounce back needed.

Class Advantage

11/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/07 · mark par11/0716/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par28/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par30/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par15/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par2/09 · C8 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 16th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 8 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 30%11/07Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 40%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 63%28/07Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 1 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 38%15/08Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%2/09
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 6-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength18%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +26.6%Ahead 2/4
13
12
OR 75
16/1
Red Autumn silks

Moyglare Stud Farm

3yo Filly · 9-5

Holy Roman Emperor - Afternoon Sunlight (Sea The Stars)

Chris Hayes60%1/6D K Weld
525447
3.0

Off the mark in Bellewstown maiden in July last year. Hasn't been seen to best effect all 3 starts in handicaps this season, left in a poor position the way the race unfolded when seventh of 8 at Killarney (1m, good) 10 weeks ago (visored). Handicapper given her a chance.

Class Advantage

24/07 · C1 · finish vs mark n/a24/071/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par23/09 · C9 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par22/03 · C8 · finish vs mark below22/03 · mark par4/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par13/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par13/07projClass-projected finish: 15th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%24/07Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%23/09Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%4/06Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 14%13/07
Projected finish15th of 1818% of fieldRange 10-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.2%Ahead 1/4
12
14
OR 71
14/1
Great Mover silks

Probity Racing Syndicate

4yo Filly · 9-6

Eqtidaar - And Yet She Moves (Roderic O'connor)

Paddy Harnett60%0/2W McCreery
326059
2.0

Easy Gowran winner 12 months ago. Hasn't hit the target since but best forgiven her Navan effort earlier in the month, making little impression having been forced to switch over 2f out. Worth treating as still in form so not discounted.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par4/0611/06 · C7 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par27/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par28/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below28/07 · mark par16/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par2/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength1%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 78%4/06Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 92%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 55%27/06Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 10 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 36%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 64%16/08Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 43%2/09
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 15-18 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -17.9%Ahead 0/4
14
18
OR 70
20/1
Unterberg silks

Novum Racing Club

7yo Gelding · 9-5

New Bay - Berg Bahn (Big Bad Bob)

Adam Browne-Souza−7lbLaura Hourigan
108809
2.0

Completed a hat-trick at Dundalk (1½m) in March but has failed to make much of an impact in 5 runs since, including under Oisin Murphy last month.

Class Advantage

20/03 · C8 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par20/033/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below3/04 · mark par30/06 · C8 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par16/07 · C8 · finish vs mark below16/07 · mark par1/08 · C8 · finish vs mark below1/08 · mark par16/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 17th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength8%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%20/03Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 12 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 15%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 8 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 42%30/06Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 14 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 13%1/08Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 9 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 27%16/08
Projected finish17th of 186% of fieldRange 14-18 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.2%Ahead 3/4
16
17
OR 70
20/1
No More Porter silks

Dooley Thoroughbreds

8yo Gelding · 9-5

Elzaam - Zaziyra (Dalakhani)

Reserve 1A McGuinness80%
283045
3.0
Tongue strap1st Visor +2

Largely running well without winning this season, most recently when fifth of 14 at Punchestown (1m, good) 6 days ago. RESERVE.

Class Advantage

25/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/0730/07 · C7 · finish vs mark below30/07 · mark par9/08 · C7 · finish vs mark below9/08 · mark par2/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below2/09 · mark par10/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below10/09 · mark par15/09 · C7 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 17
Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength3%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Dist: 1m 1f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 88%25/07Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 8 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 42%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 78%9/08Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 11 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%10/09Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 69%15/09
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 13-18 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -5.2%Ahead 2/4