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19:00 · Southwell

Free Bets On attheraces.com Handicap

4f 214yStandardClass 53YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap7 runners
Ordered by projected finish
6
3
OR 71
5/1
Courageous Sioux silks

J & A Young (Racing) Limited

Courageous Sioux

3yo Filly · 9-5

Sioux Nation - Dutch Courage (Dutch Art)

Rossa Ryan70%C G Cox
51
6.0

Promising debut fifth in Thirsk novice on sole run for Michael Appleby. Off 15 months, made a winning start for new yard in 5f Nottingham novice in July. Capable of better after a break on her handicap debut.

Class Advantage

12/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/044/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a4/07projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength58%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 56%12/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%4/07
Projected finish1st of 7100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.7%Ahead 2/2
4
Top Pick1
OR 72
22/1
Brazilian Belle silks

Dods Racing Club

Brazilian Belle

4yo Filly · 9-7

Coulsty - Brazilian Breeze (Invincible Spirit)

Sean Kirrane60%2/6M Dods
731160
5.0Going 8.0

Recorded back-to-back wins over C&D and at Wolverhampton (5f) in the winter. Off since beating one in handicap at Thirsk (5f, good) in May so needs to hit the ground running.

Class Advantage

5/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/12 · mark par5/126/01 · C5 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par7/02 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/02 · mark par20/03 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par7/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below16/05 · mark par16/05projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%5/12Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%7/02Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 6 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 29%7/04Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 16 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 6%16/05
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
1
2
OR 75
14/1
Rogue Bullet silks

The Rogues Gallery

Rogue Bullet

4yo Gelding · 9-10

Mehmas - Hope And Faith (Zebedee)

L Morris70%1/4James Owen60%
514328
5.0
Cheek pieces

Scored at Brighton in June on stable debut but hasn't kicked on in 4 subsequent outings, only eighth of 9 in handicap at Goodwood (5f, good) 25 days ago. Needs to take a step forward.

Class Advantage

29/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below29/04 · mark par29/0421/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par27/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below27/06 · mark par17/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par6/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/08 · mark par28/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below28/08 · mark par28/08projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 5 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%29/04Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 4 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 25%27/06Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%6/08Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 13%28/08
Projected finish3rd of 767% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength1%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.4%Ahead 0/4
5
4
OR 71
12/1
Hanney Girl silks

Thames Ceilings Ltd

Hanney Girl

3yo Filly · 9-5

Cable Bay - Holloa (Acclamation)

Ryan SextonT D Easterby
399442
6.0Class ↓4
Tongue strap

Dual 5f winner last summer. Yet to add to those successes in 2026 but shaped well when second of 9 in handicap at Catterick (5f, good) 14 days ago, collared late on having done too much too soon in front. Can make her presence felt.

Class Advantage

23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above23/05 · mark par23/055/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par27/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par22/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 71%23/05Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 47%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%27/06Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 40%22/08Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 88%8/09
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.7%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 74
4/1
Goyard silks

Georginio Rutter & Jinky Farms

Goyard

4yo Gelding · 9-9

Mehmas - Desert Mission (Shamardal)

Oisin Murphy70%D O'Meara80%
384576
3.0
Tongue strap

Successful twice at Ripon last summer and made an encouraging return when third in handicap at Pontefract in June. Hasn't gone on from that effort since, though, sixth of 10 in handicap at Newcastle (5f) 3 days ago. More is required.

Class Advantage

21/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/06 · mark par21/066/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par11/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par1/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 4f 214y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 75%21/06Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 8 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%26/07Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 33%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 14%1/09Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 6 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 44%19/09
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength47%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -30.3%Ahead 1/4
3
Market Fav6
OR 73
5/6
Managing Director silks

Bond Thoroughbred Limited

Managing Director

4yo Gelding · 9-8

Cotai Glory - Fondled (Selkirk)

P J McDonald0/3G R Oldroyd60%
185320
4.0

Sole success came at Thirsk in 2024 for Bryan Smart. Off 21 months but back in good form for his current yard, second at Thirsk (5f) before poorly drawn when in midfield in handicap at York (5.4f, good) 16 days ago. Weighted to go well on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

7/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/0911/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par3/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par14/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par6/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%7/09Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 5 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 43%3/07Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 3 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 88%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 88%14/08Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 11 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%6/09
Projected finish6th of 717% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength88%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 2/4
7
7
OR 70
18/1
Dance Of Angels silks

Mr Henry Candy

Dance Of Angels

3yo Filly · 9-4

Harry Angel - She Can Boogie (Dandy Man)

Nicola Currie60%0/2H Candy
345
5.0

Shaped with promise in 2 turf outings over 5f last year and again on her return when fifth of 8 in C&D novice in April. Open to further progress after a break now going into handicaps.

Class Advantage

7/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/082/10 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/1028/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/04projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength75%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 4f 214y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 75%7/08Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 50%2/10Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 5 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 43%28/04
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.7%Ahead 1/3