13:40 · Beverley

Christmas Parties R Us Restricted Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

5fGoodClass 52YO onlyTURF13 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
Top Pick1
OR 78
85/40
Call Me Tomorrow silks

Martin Hughes & Partnership

2yo Filly · 9-0

Minzaal - Al Dawodiya (Gutaifan)

Joe Leavy0/1R Hannon80%
25250
4.0Class ↓3

Raced at 5f, showing fair form when runner-up in maiden/novice events in the spring. Has had a break since finishing well held in the Super Sprint at Newbury in July. Leading claims if close to her best on return following a breathing operation.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/043/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par18/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength98%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 60%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 86%15/04Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 5 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 43%3/05Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 88%23/05Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%12/06Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 39%18/07
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength97%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.4%Ahead 1/4
1
Market Fav2
OR 77
8/13
Star People silks

John Blackburn & Ross Harmon

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Sioux Nation - Tayberry (Oasis Dream)

Jason Hart60%0/6J & S Quinn
523222
7.0Going 8.0Class ↓3

Fairly useful form, finishing runner-up on 4 of his last 5 starts. A prominent showing looks assured back in a maiden.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/0520/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a3/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par20/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par12/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength79%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 60%30/05Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 67%3/08Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 2 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 80%1/09Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 2 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 88%12/09
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.8%Ahead 0/4
8
3
150/1
Striking Force silks

P D Smith Holdings Ltd

2yo Filly · 9-0

Persian Force - Asmeen (Shamardal)

Barry McHugh70%0/2R A Fahey80%
89
3.0Class ↓3

Well held in a pair of 6f outings in recent months.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0727/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move3
Strength79%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 0%10/07Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 20%27/08
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 4-4 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength77%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -8.4%Ahead 1/2
2
7
40/1
Walt silks

AMO Racing Limited

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Persian Force - Luna Moon (Equiano)

Jack Callan60%D Loughnane
55
3.0

Well held in 2 outings over 6f in the first half of the summer. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a21/0527/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 20%21/05Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 20%27/06
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 3-3 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength86%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -12.9%Ahead 1/2
9
4
150/1
Ardad Apollo silks

Mrs K Bethel & Cw Racing Club

2yo Gelding · 8-13

Ardad - Victoria's Angel (Dark Angel)

Rhys Elliott60%−5lbM Walford
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled May 7. 12,000 gns Ardad gelding. Half-brother to 9f/1¼m winner Miss Angel and 11f winner Star Brose. Dam winner up to 9f (2-y-o 6.5f winner). The betting should help guide to expectations.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish5th of 1367% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
10
8
9/1
Muve On silks

Mr D B & Mrs C Lamplough & Partner

2yo Gelding · 8-13

Mattmu - Pacngo (Paco Boy)

D Allan60%0/1T D Easterby
5
2.0

28/1, promise amidst greenness when fifth of 8 in novice at Redcar (5f, good to firm, 28/1) on debut 7 days ago, not knocked about. Should have more to offer.

Class Advantage

15/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 43%15/09
Projected finish6th of 1358% of fieldRange 3-8 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +42.9%Ahead 1/1
3
6
12/1
Perryston silks

Mr Kenneth MacPherson

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Havana Grey - La Puntalina (Pivotal)

K Stott70%0/1K A Ryan60%
0
2.0

17/2, tenth of 11 in C&D maiden (good to firm) on debut 64 days ago. Has been gelded.

Class Advantage

20/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a20/07
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 10 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 10 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 10%20/07
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 8-13 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength14%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -45.3%Ahead 0/1
12
5
80/1
Howard's Hobby silks

Nick Bradley Racing 4 & Partner

2yo Filly · 8-11

Tasleet - Blue Oyster (Medicean)

J P Sullivan60%T D Easterby
No form3.0Going 8.0

Foaled February 16. 24,000 gns Tasleet filly. Sister to 7f winner Abbey's Dream. Dam, 9.5f winner, sister to smart winner up to 1m Blue Maiden. Muve On looks the stable first string unless the betting suggests otherwise.

Class Advantage

No data

Previous Market Position

Projected finish8th of 1342% of field
NO HISTORYfirst run / unraced
Trend
Strength0%
13
12
22/1
Get On That Baby silks

Munroe, Guy, Walshe, Hodges & Naisbitt

2yo Filly · 8-8

Arizona - Sharsted (Maxios)

Joanna Mason0/1M & D Easterby
4
5.0

25/1, barely modest form when beaten just over 8 lengths into fourth on C&D debut (heavy) 23 days ago.

Class Advantage

30/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a30/08
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength22%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 75%30/08
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength64%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +75.0%Ahead 1/1
4
10
200/1
Rum Point silks

Mr A Rafferty

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Lucky Vega - Misscomplacent (Compton Place)

Zak Wheatley60%0/1D Carroll
07
3.0Class ↓3

Speedily-bred sort who looks more one for nurseries based on his 2 efforts this month.

Class Advantage

5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/0915/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength73%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 17%5/09Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 14%15/09
Projected finish10th of 1325% of fieldRange 11-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength17%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +12.8%Ahead 2/2
5
11
250/1
Regal Adventure silks

A Scaife, C Scaife, G Scaife

2yo Gelding · 9-2

Coulsty - Majesty's Pleasure (Bungle Inthejungle)

Alex JaryN Tinkler
76
3.0

Well held both starts and a likely outsider again.

Class Advantage

10/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a10/0415/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength45%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 14%10/04Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 29%15/09
Projected finish11th of 1317% of fieldRange 8-8 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength43%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +21.4%Ahead 2/2
6
9
50/1
Taj Mahal Palace silks

Joseph Bell & Spring Cottage Syndicate

2yo Colt · 9-2

Palace Pier - Stereophonic (Acclamation)

Harry RussellB Ellison
75
4.0Class ↓3

Down the field both starts to date and will need improvement to get heavily involved.

Class Advantage

12/08 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a12/0815/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength28%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 33%12/08Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +14.0%Ahead 1/2
11
13
200/1
Dreamawhile silks

Bearstone Stud Limited

2yo Filly · 8-11

Dream Ahead - Seaclusion (Fountain Of Youth)

D Fentiman60%T D Easterby
9
2.0

150/1, last of 9 in C&D novice (good) on debut last Wednesday. Needs to have come on a lot in a short time.

Class Advantage

16/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength12%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 150/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 150/1 | Actual: 0%16/09
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +0.0%Ahead 0/1