16:00 · Beverley

Fango Handicap (Div 2)

7f 75yGoodClass 43YO plusTURFHandicap9 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market Fav2
OR 82
10/3
Glenfinnan silks

Csk Services Limited

6yo Gelding · 10-2

Harry Angel - Fatanah (Green Desert)

Connor Beasley60%2/17M Dods60%
942018
6.0
Hood

Two C&D wins this year, the latter in August on good ground. Pulled too hard when last of 8 at Ascot since but respected back here.

Class Advantage

13/06 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/06 · mark par13/0624/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/06 · mark par4/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par5/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength75%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%13/06Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 77%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 86%4/07Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 21%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 1 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 100%12/08Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.4%Ahead 3/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 77
5/1
Tattie Bogle silks

Kingsley Park Owners Club

4yo Gelding · 9-11

Outstrip - Tottie (Fantastic Light)

Callum Shepherd70%0/4C Johnston60%
272281
7.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

C&D winner in June and also second over C&D in July. Back to winning ways at Brighton (7f, good) 3 weeks ago and a 4 lb rise shouldn't prevent another bold bid.

Class Advantage

1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/074/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par8/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par1/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength30%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 89%1/07Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 7 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 14%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%20/07Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 8 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 22%12/08Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 1 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 100%1/09
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength70%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4
6
4
OR 75
15/2
Style Of Life silks

Rise One Racing - Style Of Life

6yo Mare · 9-9

New Bay - Caterina Di Cesi (Cape Town)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1−3lbH Bethell80%
125002
5.0Going 8.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Ground-versatile front runner who recorded back-to-back wins at Chester/Pontefract last summer. Sprung back to life in first-time cheekpieces when length second over 8.5f here (heavy) latest. Player if the headgear works again.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/0618/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par26/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par15/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/05 · mark par14/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below14/08 · mark par29/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength20%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 83%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 67%26/07Pos 21 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 21 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 5%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 29%14/08Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 2 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 89%29/08
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength87%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.1%Ahead 1/4
3
3
OR 78
7/1
Mudamer silks

Mr J Beamson & Mr P Harker

7yo Gelding · 9-12

Dark Angel - Mesadah (Raven's Pass)

D Nolan0/1G A Harker60%
330637
4.0
Cheek pieces

Made all for back-to-back wins at Catterick last autumn. Returned with 2 good placed efforts this spring but hasn't been operating at the same level since, including when only seventh of 8 over C&D latest. Cheekpieces go back on.

Class Advantage

27/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above27/03 · mark par27/0318/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par16/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par15/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par29/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below29/08 · mark par29/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 3 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 80%27/03Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 82%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 9%16/05Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 6 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 33%15/07Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 14%29/08
Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength38%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.8%Ahead 2/4
2
5
OR 80
10/3
Obelix silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd & Julie Camacho

6yo Gelding · 10-0

Sea The Stars - La Mortola (Dubawi)

Jason Hart60%0/2Miss J A Camacho
155044
4.0Class ↓3

Back to winning ways at Wetherby (7f) in June and respectable fourths over C&D (good) and at Thirsk (good to soft) on last 2 outings. Likely to be on the premises.

Class Advantage

4/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par4/0620/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par11/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par1/08 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par12/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par5/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength56%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 1 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 100%4/06Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 5 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%11/07Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 13 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 4 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 67%12/08Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 57%5/09
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength57%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -16.5%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 76
12/1
Nursia silks

Mrs J Ryan

3yo Gelding · 9-7

Harry Angel - Lyrical Approach (New Approach)

K Stott70%0/3K A Ryan70%
5158
4.0

Left his sole 2-y-o run behind when winning 6-runner novice at Newcastle (6f) in January but has disappointed in a novice and handicap back on turf since. Up in trip after 2 months off and still early days, but arrives with a point to prove.

Class Advantage

14/07 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a14/0724/01 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a24/0111/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a11/0624/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 9
Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 25%Dist: 7f 75y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%14/07Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%24/01Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 43%11/06Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 36%24/07
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength68%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -20.5%Ahead 2/4
9
9
OR 67
13/2
Folkene silks

Harswell Thoroughbred Racing I

4yo Filly · 9-1

Goken - Ma Petite Folie (Cockney Rebel)

Joanna Mason1/8Roger Fell
640474
4.0

Has drawn blank since making a winning start for current yard at Newmarket (7f) last summer but her mark has come down as a result and last week's fourth of 12 at Thirsk (7f, good) was encouraging.

Class Advantage

29/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/03 · mark par29/0326/04 · C4 · finish vs mark above26/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below4/06 · mark par17/08 · C5 · finish vs mark above17/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par14/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above14/09 · mark par14/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 9
Class readPROGRESSIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength23%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 7f 75y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 64%29/03Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 10 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%4/06Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 7 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 33%4/09Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 4 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 73%14/09
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.3%Ahead 2/4
8
6
OR 72
22/1
Light Speed silks

Mr Garry Flesher

6yo Gelding · 9-6

Mehmas - Kibara (Sadler's Wells)

J P Sullivan60%Mrs R Carr80%
653894
3.0

Course winner. Respectable fourth of 6 in handicap at Newcastle (1¼m) in December (final start for Gemma Tutty). The betting perhaps the best guide to expectations on return for new stable.

Class Advantage

13/09 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/09 · mark par13/0928/09 · C4 · finish vs mark above28/09 · mark par23/10 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par22/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/11 · mark par13/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/12 · mark par19/12 · C4 · finish vs mark above19/12 · mark par19/12projClass-projected finish: 7th of 9
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 7f 75y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 44%13/09Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 82%23/10Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 8 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 30%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 9 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 27%13/12Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 40%19/12
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 8-9 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.6%Ahead 1/4
5
8
OR 80
33/1
Star Material silks

Mr S Ryan

3yo Gelding · 9-11

Starman - Marriage Material (Kodiac)

Barry McHugh70%A Keatley
0983R0
3.0Class ↓4

Refused to race at Redcar in July and all but did the same at Newcastle since. One to avoid.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/09 · mark par19/0911/10 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/10 · mark par18/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par6/05 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/05 · mark par3/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par20/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/08 · mark par20/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 9
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 7f 75y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 88%19/09Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 38%18/04Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 8 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 36%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%3/07Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 13 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%20/08
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength10%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.6%Ahead 2/4