13:05 · Beverley

Old Gravel Pits Lodges EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m 100yGoodClass 32YO onlyTURF4 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 96
8/13
Arthurian silks

Denford Stud

2yo Colt · 9-7

Camelot - Ultramarine (Siyouni)

Jason Hart60%A M Balding60%
623
6.0Class ↓2

Camelot colt who matched debut form when second in a Haydock maiden (1m) in August and then found a chunk of improvement upped markedly in grade when third of 5 in listed company back over that C&D (soft) 17 days ago. Sets a high standard back in much calmer waters.

Class Advantage

17/07 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a17/077/08 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a7/085/09 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 1
Class readCOMPETITIVE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength30%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 6 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 55%17/07Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 80%7/08Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 50%5/09
Projected finish1st of 4100% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength60%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.9%Ahead 0/3
3
2
6/4
Bayraktar silks

Mr Mohamed Saeed Al Shehhi

2yo Colt · 9-7

State Of Rest - Shishito (Wootton Bassett)

Pierre-Louis Jamin60%K R Burke60%
2
8.0

State of Rest colt who was conspicuously green early but produced a promising first effort nevertheless when second in a class 2 York maiden (7f) 16 days ago, noted doing good late work. Increase in trip looks sure to suit and he's sure to progress (holds a Group 1 entry).

Class Advantage

6/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength10%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 90%6/09
Projected finish2nd of 467% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.7%Ahead 1/1
4
3
66/1
Stellar Quest silks

Mr D J Mackay & West Shaw Farm

2yo Gelding · 9-7

Space Traveller - What Is Life (Iffraaj)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbK R Burke80%
9
2.0

Son of Space Traveller who offered little starting out in selling company when ninth of 12 in a 6f contest at Chester back in May. Takes a significant step up in trip (also gelded) on return from a break but yard look to hold much more pressing claims with Bayraktar.

Class Advantage

30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a30/05
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 100%Dist: 1m 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%30/05
Projected finish3rd of 433% of fieldRange 7-12 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -41.2%Ahead 0/1
2
4
20/1
Austin silks

Exors Of The Late Sheikh Mohammed Obai

2yo Colt · 9-7

Lope De Vega - Nada (Teofilo)

T Eaves0/1K A Ryan
8
2.0

Lope De Vega colt from a useful home-bred family who ran as if in need of run for fitness/experience but clearly has ability, catching the eye with his mid-race move before that effort took its toll. Imposing type who looks sure to improve on that initial effort.

Class Advantage

3/09 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a3/09
Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 13%3/09
Projected finish4th of 40% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength4%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.3%Ahead 0/1