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19:30 · Southwell

Weekend Winners On At The Races Handicap (GBBPlus Race)

1m 4f 14yStandardClass 33YO plusALLWEATHERHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
10
4
OR 76
9/2
Cliff Danger silks

Family Sly

Cliff Danger

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Bated Breath - Eileendover (Canford Cliffs)

K T O'Neill1/3T Ellis
64791
6.0

Lightly-raced sort who took a big step forward on just his second handicap when landing 12-runner event over C&D last month on final run for Pam Sly. Up 4 lb but not taken lightly for his new yard.

Class Advantage

26/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a26/0419/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a5/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above5/07 · mark par16/08 · C4 · finish vs mark above16/08 · mark par16/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength19%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 60%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 20%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 29%26/04Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 67%19/05Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%18/06Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 38%5/07Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 1 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 100%16/08
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +41.4%Ahead 4/4
6
5
OR 83
11/1
Assail silks

Mr Raed El Youssef

Assail

6yo Gelding · 9-9

No Nay Never - Pink Damsel (Galileo)

L Morris70%2/8D M Simcock
266432
6.0

Winless since 2024 but he comes here in very good form, conceding first run to the winner when second of 6 in handicap at Sandown (1¼m, good) in July. Must enter calculations after a break.

Class Advantage

21/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above21/09 · mark par21/0928/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par1/01 · C3 · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par28/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/01 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par23/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par23/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 2 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 90%21/09Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 6 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 29%1/01Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 82%29/06Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%23/07
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength54%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.4%Ahead 3/4
5
Top Pick1
OR 85
16/1
Nolton Cross silks

Middleham Park Racing Xcii

Nolton Cross

7yo Gelding · 9-11

Dark Angel - Pandora's Box (Galileo)

David Probert70%0/2H Palmer60%
089525
5.0Going 8.0

Won at Wolverhampton (1½m) in February. Bounced back to form when second at Chester (1¼m) but ridden too aggressively when fifth of 7 there (1¼m) later in July. Possibilities.

Class Advantage

3/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par3/042/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below2/05 · mark par17/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above17/05 · mark par20/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below20/06 · mark par10/07 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par25/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par25/07projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 13 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 13 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 8%3/04Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 27%17/05Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 86%10/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%25/07
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +8.7%Ahead 2/4
9
2
OR 85
9/1
Urchin silks

Mr Philip Newton

Urchin

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Ulysses - Ship's Biscuit (Tiger Hill)

S H James70%1/2K R Burke60%
312
7.0

Wide-margin winner of 11f novice at Ripon on return. Looked a hard ride (hung badly left early) when an odds-on second of 3 in novice at Beverley (1½m, good to firm) in May. Remains with potential after a layoff on his handicap debut for good yard.

Class Advantage

16/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0816/04 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a16/0430/05 · C3 · finish vs mark n/a30/05projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 4f 14y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 82%16/08Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%16/04Pos 2 · SP 1/2 | Expected: 97%Pos 2 · SP 1/2 | Actual: 50%30/05
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.0%Ahead 2/3
2
9
OR 89
4/1
Fierce Fortitude silks

AMO Racing Limited

Fierce Fortitude

4yo Gelding · 10-1

Mehmas - Dubka (Dubawi)

D Egan60%1/4K P De Foy
212130
5.0Going 8.0

Low-mileage 4-y-o who doubled his career tally at Redcar (1¼m) in April. Off since beating only one in handicap at Newmarket (1½m, firm) in July but could still do better.

Class Advantage

19/09 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a19/0929/09 · C5 · finish vs mark above29/09 · mark par20/03 · C4 · finish vs mark above20/03 · mark par30/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above30/04 · mark par25/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/05 · mark par4/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par4/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 80%19/09Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 2 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 91%20/03Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 78%25/05Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 11 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 9%4/07
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +4.6%Ahead 2/4
4
6
OR 86
17/2
Solarize silks

Sheikh Hamdan Bin Mohammed Al Maktoum

Solarize

4yo Colt · 9-12

Masar - Sahraah (Kingmambo)

Daniel Muscutt70%2/3C Johnston
531152
6.0Going 8.0

Progressive on all-weather in 2025 when a dual winner. Quickly back on track following a 12-week break when runner-up over 11f at Kempton in February. Off since but he remains with potential.

Class Advantage

9/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a9/1015/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a23/10 · C5 · finish vs mark n/a4/11 · C4 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par28/11 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/11 · mark par18/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above18/02 · mark par18/02projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength13%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 100%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 20%9/10Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 1 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 100%23/10Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%28/11Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 2 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 88%18/02
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +7.2%Ahead 3/4
8
Market Fav8
OR 89
7/2
Golden Knight silks

Mr David Stewart & Mr Hugh Sloane

Golden Knight

3yo Colt · 9-8

Camelot - Bye Bye Birdie (Oasis Dream)

K Shoemark60%2/5E Walker
416013
6.0Class ↓2

Camelot colt who got back on the up when successful in 1¼m handicap at Ascot in July. Hampered last 1f when a good third of 4 at Newbury (1¼m, good to firm) following month. Interesting contender back up in trip on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

27/09 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a27/0922/10 · C4 · finish vs mark n/a28/05 · C1 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a18/06 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par10/07 · C4 · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par15/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 1m 4f 14y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 63%27/09Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 1 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%28/05Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 12 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 39%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 1 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 100%10/07Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 33%15/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.9%Ahead 3/4
1
3
OR 90
10/1
Topteam silks

King Power Racing Co Ltd

Topteam

4yo Gelding · 10-2

Oasis Dream - Countess De Vega (Lope De Vega)

Oisin Murphy70%2/5A M Balding80%
715207
3.0

Won at Kempton (1½m) in April. In and out since, off 3 months before a below-par seventh of 11 in handicap there (1½m) 17 days ago. Needs to take a step forward.

Class Advantage

6/09 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/09 · mark par6/096/04 · C3 · finish vs mark above6/04 · mark par28/04 · C3 · finish vs mark below28/04 · mark par15/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above15/05 · mark par30/05 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par5/09 · C3 · finish vs mark above5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 0%6/09Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 1 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 5 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 0%28/04Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 2 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 86%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 12 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 0%30/05Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 7 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 40%5/09
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -39.6%Ahead 1/4
7
7
OR 83
17/2
Tryfan silks

Stop N Shares

Tryfan

5yo Gelding · 9-9

Nathaniel - Rhagori (Exceed And Excel)

H Crouch60%2/5Harry Charlton60%
920715
5.0Going 10.0
Cheek pieces

Addition of first-time cheekpieces saw him notch a fourth career victory at Ascot in July. Found little when last of 5 in retained headgear at Newbury (1½m, good to firm) since though. This course winner needs to bounce back.

Class Advantage

16/01 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/01 · mark par16/0112/02 · C4 · finish vs mark above12/02 · mark par3/04 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par14/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above14/05 · mark par11/07 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par15/08 · C4 · finish vs mark below15/08 · mark par15/08projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 50%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 9 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 9 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 20%16/01Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 83%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 11 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 9%3/04Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 7 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 100%11/07Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 0%15/08
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -7.9%Ahead 1/4
3
10
OR 87
25/1
The Green Mile silks

Mr Donald Bell

The Green Mile

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Waldgeist - Top Of The Art (Dark Angel)

Charles Bishop2/3N P Mulholland
501317
5.0Class ↓2

Landed handicaps at Chepstow (1¼m) and Kempton (11f) in early summer. Not discredited with seventh of 12 back at Kempton (1½m) last time given he wasn't ideally placed. Much respected on his tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

10/05 · C3 · finish vs mark above10/05 · mark par10/0518/04 · C4 · finish vs mark below18/04 · mark par21/05 · C4 · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par8/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par29/06 · C4 · finish vs mark above29/06 · mark par12/08 · C3 · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par12/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength25%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 1m 4f 14y · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 20%10/05Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 23%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%21/05Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 3 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 78%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%29/06Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 7 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 45%12/08
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 2-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength42%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +34.1%Ahead 3/4