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15:48 · Warwick

Abi And Brad Divorce Handicap Hurdle

3m 2fGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 44YO plusTURFHandicap5 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 106
9/4
Prince De Juilley silks

F&S Consultants Ltd

Prince De Juilley

9yo Gelding · 11-10

Honolulu - Horemsaf (Entrepreneur)

C Gethings0/8A Ralph60%
122465
5.0Going 8.0
Blinkers

C&D winner. Made an encouraging return when fourth at Worcester (23f) in June but has twice failed to build on it at Stratford and Uttoxeter. Blinkers are retried now.

Class Advantage

18/10 · C5 · finish vs mark above18/10 · mark par18/1023/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below23/10 · mark par3/11 · C4 · finish vs mark below3/11 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par30/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/06 · mark par24/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par24/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 3m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%18/10Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 2 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 83%3/11Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 70%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 17%30/06Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 5 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 73%24/07
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +24.6%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 105
3/1
Belles Benefit silks

Alex Harvey

Belles Benefit

10yo Mare · 11-9

Leading Light - Snowbelle (Flemensfirth)

Harry Bannister70%5/23B I Case60%
568135
5.0Going 8.0Class ↓2
Blinkers

Veteran made a convincing winning return at Cartmel (2¾m) in June. Backed it up with a very good third there but only fifth of 7 returned there last time. Bounce back is needed.

Class Advantage

23/09 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/09 · mark par23/093/10 · C5 · finish vs mark below3/10 · mark par2/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below2/11 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par18/07 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par31/08 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/08 · mark par31/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m 2f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 33%23/09Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 6 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 53%2/11Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 1 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%18/07Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 33%31/08
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.1%Ahead 3/4
2
4
OR 106
7/2
Back In The Bay silks

Value Racing - Back In The Bay

Back In The Bay

7yo Mare · 11-10

Doyen - Shameena (Indian Danehill)

J J Burke60%0/3James Owen60%
13752P
5.0Going 8.0
Cheek pieces

Scored twice at up to 2½m over hurdles last summer. Back to form when second over hurdles at Worcester (23f) in August but pulled up (first-time cheekpieces) back chasing at Bangor (3m, good) 18 days ago. Not without interest returned to this sphere.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/06 · mark par12/0620/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par17/10 · C4 · finish vs mark below17/10 · mark par23/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below23/05 · mark par7/07 · C4 · finish vs mark below7/07 · mark par19/08 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par19/08projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 2 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 83%12/06Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Expected: 90%Pos 1 · SP 15/8 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Expected: 95%Pos 3 · SP 10/11 | Actual: 0%17/10Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%7/07Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 93%19/08
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -13.9%Ahead 1/4
5
3
OR 98
11/2
Pipers Cross silks

Mrs Sarah Johnstone - Cooke

Pipers Cross

9yo Mare · 11-2

Soldier Of Fortune - Oatfield Lady (Flemensfirth)

Cameron Johnstone-Baker60%1/12−7lbP D Evans60%
353345
4.0

In good nick without winning last season for Emma Lavelle. Returns for new handler after 7 months off and needs to hit the ground running.

Class Advantage

15/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/04 · mark par15/0411/11 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/11 · mark par12/12 · C5 · finish vs mark below12/12 · mark par9/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below9/01 · mark par26/01 · C4 · finish vs mark below26/01 · mark par20/02 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/02 · mark par20/02projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 3m 2f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 3 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 71%15/04Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 3 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 71%12/12Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 3 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 25%26/01Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 20%20/02
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength28%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.4%Ahead 1/4
1
5
OR 108
4/1
Lacrima silks

Ms Belinda Jayne Heal

Lacrima

5yo Gelding · 11-12

Voiladenuo - Vie Royale (Kapgarde)

Jack Stenhouse60%1/2−7lbNick Scholfield60%
884514
5.0
BlinkersTongue strap

Fairly useful chaser in France. Dominant winner for current yard at Worcester (23f) but a well-held fourth of 5 (evens) in handicap hurdle there (2½m, good to firm) later in July. Freshened up since and well worth another chance.

Class Advantage

11/04 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/044/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par30/05 · C4 · finish vs mark below30/05 · mark par6/06 · C4 · finish vs mark below6/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par10/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below10/07 · mark par10/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 3m 2f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 13%11/04Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 25%30/05Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 1 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 100%1/07Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Expected: 95%Pos 4 · SP 1/1 | Actual: 25%10/07
Projected finish5th of 50% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength85%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.3%Ahead 3/4