14:50 · Beverley

John Allinson 90th Birthday Handicap

5fGoodClass 63YO onlyTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
3
Top Pick1
OR 57
5/2
Battenburg Belle silks

Ursa Major Racing Ltd

3yo Filly · 9-6

Inns Of Court - Fainleog (Rock Of Gibraltar)

Jason Hart60%2/6R Menzies60%
153311
8.0Going 10.0

Largely consistent filly who is enjoying a productive campaign, landing back-to-back 6f handicaps at Catterick in recent weeks. Can make her presence felt again following a 5 lb rise back at the minimum trip.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/064/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par4/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/08 · mark par26/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 5f · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%22/06Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 5 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 3 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 80%26/07Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 71%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 1 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 100%26/08Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%8/09
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength99%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +18.1%Ahead 4/4
1
Market Fav4
OR 60
15/8
Under The Radar silks

Fine Claret Racing & Ptnr

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Profitable - Rio Festival (First Defence)

D Allan60%1/8T D Easterby60%
693356
4.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Thirsk maiden winner as a 2-y-o who is holding his form well from steadily easing mark in defeat this year, equipped with cheekpieces when finishing a creditable sixth at Redcar (5f) 7 days ago. This looks a little less demanding with the headgear retained.

Class Advantage

12/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par12/0625/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par16/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above16/07 · mark par20/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 58%12/06Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 27%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 75%16/07Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 3 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 56%12/08Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 58%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +13.5%Ahead 2/4
4
2
OR 57
12/1
Go Victor silks

Carswell & Stella Barclay Racing Club

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Victor Ludorum - Glad Eye (Dansili)

Billy Garritty60%1/2T Culhane & S Barclay60%
009130
4.0Class ↓4
1st Cheekpieces +2

Bounced back to form to win at Pontefract (6f) in July and followed it up with a solid third of 8 in handicap at Chepstow (6f, good to firm) next time. Easy to overlook his latest Carlisle run (eased off having been denied a run over 1f out). Not dismissed with cheekpieces now enlisted.

Class Advantage

7/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below7/04 · mark par7/0421/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above21/05 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below3/07 · mark par26/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/07 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%7/04Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 9%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%3/07Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 1 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 3 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 71%9/08Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 11 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 9%9/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength58%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +22.4%Ahead 2/4
5
3
OR 50
150/1
Dinamo silks

Thompson, Thompson, & Hutchinson

3yo Filly · 8-13

Dandy Man - J'ouvert (Dawn Approach)

Joanna MasonMiss T Jackson
414947
4.0

Narrow winner of a small-field Thirsk nursery (5f) last summer but she struggled in handful of starts thereafter for Karl Burke as a juvenile. New yard has enjoyed success with similar recruits but others make much greater appeal following a 12-month absence.

Class Advantage

9/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par9/0715/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par6/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/09 · mark par6/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength39%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 57%9/07Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 1 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 4 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 9 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 40%27/08Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 25%6/09
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -21.8%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 60
2/1
Black Missile silks

Bland,hall,postill & Bransome

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Sergei Prokofiev - Oh Simple Thing (Compton Place)

Tom Kiely-Marshall60%0/1−3lbMiss J A Camacho60%
455366
4.0
Visor

Maiden who was noted doing good late work when sixth in a C&D handicap 2 starts back and went through his race better without seeing his race out when filling same spot at Leicester (5f) 2 weeks ago. Mark has eased a little more ahead of this, so one to bear in mind for shrewd stable.

Class Advantage

26/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/114/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/05 · mark par28/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above28/05 · mark par17/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par12/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength65%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 4 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 25%26/11Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 5 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 69%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 60%28/05Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 3 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 6 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 44%12/08Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 50%8/09
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength78%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.2%Ahead 2/4
6
5
OR 45
22/1
Sparkling Wine silks

Lovely Bubbly Racing

3yo Filly · 8-9

Dream Ahead - Sparkling Perry (Fountain Of Youth)

Mark Winn0/2M Dods
252400
3.0

Fared considerably better than previously when a narrow second over C&D in July but hasn't been in anything like the same form in trio of starts since. Has it to prove quickly returned to the minimum trip.

Class Advantage

11/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/06 · mark par11/0623/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/06 · mark par14/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/07 · mark par23/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/07 · mark par25/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/07 · mark par22/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/08 · mark par22/08projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength26%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 5f · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 80%11/06Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 5 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 20%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 2 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 86%14/07Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 4 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 50%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 10 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 15 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 7%22/08
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 5-6 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.9%Ahead 2/4