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16:35 · Beverley

End Of Season Handicap

1m 100yGoodClass 63YO onlyTURFHandicap10 runners
Ordered by projected finish
7
3
OR 62
7/1
Only Dream Big silks

Mrs Jennifer E Pallister

Only Dream Big

3yo Filly · 9-6

Dream Ahead - River Song (Siphon)

D Allan60%0/6T D Easterby60%
563527
5.0Class ↓3
Blinkers

Front runner gained back-to-back wins at Redcar (7f) and Musselburgh (1m) in June. Largely consistent in defeat since and she proved keener than ideal from her wide draw when seventh at Carlisle (7f) 2 weeks ago. Type to bounce back.

Class Advantage

10/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above10/07 · mark par10/0729/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/07 · mark par11/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par4/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/09 · mark par9/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 4th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength70%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 100y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 60%10/07Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 3 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 67%11/08Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 5 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 43%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 2 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 89%4/09Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 7 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 33%9/09
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +6.9%Ahead 1/4
3
Top Pick1
OR 65
10/3
Amber Hamur silks

Mrs Doreen M Swinburn

Amber Hamur

3yo Filly · 9-9

Saxon Warrior - Yellowhammer (Raven's Pass)

Connor Beasley60%2/3E Bethell
462113
8.0Going 8.0

Much improved following switch to Ed Bethell, landing back-to-back 1m handicaps at Hamilton/Ripon in recent months. Ran another solid race on back of further 5 lb rise when third behind Dalamara at Musselburgh (9f) 4 weeks ago and ought to be very competitive again.

Class Advantage

30/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/03 · mark par30/035/05 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/05 · mark par3/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par11/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above11/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength32%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%30/03Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 6 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 2 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 83%3/07Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 1 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 100%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 2/1 | Actual: 100%3/08Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 6/5 | Actual: 71%25/08
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -1.2%Ahead 2/4
6
Market Fav2
OR 63
6/4
Buckland Belle silks

Mr P McNally And Partners

Buckland Belle

3yo Filly · 9-7

St Mark's Basilica - Federation (Motivator)

D Tudhope60%Ollie Sangster
221321
8.0Going 10.0

Has won 3 times since switched to turf this year, pulling a little way clear with an in-form rival when landing the odds in 11-runner contest at Bath 20 days ago. All out to hold on then but she commands definite respect following a 3 lb rise.

Class Advantage

27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par27/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par22/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par2/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength43%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/8 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 13/8 | Actual: 75%27/06Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Expected: 93%Pos 2 · SP 5/4 | Actual: 83%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Expected: 98%Pos 1 · SP 4/9 | Actual: 100%22/07Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 3 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 60%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 2 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 80%24/08Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Expected: 96%Pos 1 · SP 5/6 | Actual: 100%2/09
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.6%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 61
7/1
Snaafy silks

Dave Loughnane Racing Club

Snaafy

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Massaat - Kodikova (Speightstown)

K Stott70%D Loughnane60%
352959
3.0

Successful in an all-weather nursery during the winter and proved as good as ever when second at Pontefract (1m) in July. Has largely looked summed up by his mark more recently but may have found 9.5f stretching him at Wolverhampton 7 days ago. This test more suitable.

Class Advantage

6/01 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/01 · mark par6/0117/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below17/01 · mark par17/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above17/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below31/07 · mark par15/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above15/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength49%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 100y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 3 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 50%6/01Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 5 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 2 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 83%17/07Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 9 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%15/08Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 27%15/09
Projected finish4th of 1067% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +15.7%Ahead 3/4
10
9
OR 59
9/1
Horwich silks

Foxtrot Racing Horwich

Horwich

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Mayson - Hilldale (Exceed And Excel)

J P Sullivan60%0/7Mrs R Carr
606U29
3.0

Free-going sort who boasts a mixed record for this yard but went like the best horse at the weights when second behind Dalamara at Musselburgh (9f) in August. Easy to overlook his latest run (clipped heels and all but came down) at Wolverhampton and his present mark looks workable.

Class Advantage

29/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above29/05 · mark par29/0515/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/06 · mark par6/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below6/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below21/07 · mark par25/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▬
Strength28%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 33%Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 50%29/05Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 58%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 0%6/07Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 86%25/08Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 9 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 20%7/09
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +25.1%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 65
22/1
Pilgrim's Progress silks

Mr Des Anderson

Pilgrim's Progress

3yo Filly · 9-9

Showcasing - Pelerin (Shamardal)

Joe Leavy0/2R Hannon80%
227285
4.0

Quickly resumed her progress when second in a Windsor maiden (5f) in August. Disappointed next time but best not judged harshly on her latest Salisbury fifth having been drawn furthest away from where the main action developed. Steps up in trip now.

Class Advantage

17/12 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a17/1213/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/07 · mark par25/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below25/07 · mark par3/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par11/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above11/09 · mark par11/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 100y

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 2 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 86%17/12Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 2 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 83%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 7 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 0%25/07Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 80%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 8 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 30%13/08Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 64%11/09
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength25%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -6.9%Ahead 1/4
2
6
OR 65
25/1
Turtle Reef silks

Horrocks & Owen

Turtle Reef

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Kameko - Qatar Queen (Kodiac)

Jack Nicholls60%−3lbH Palmer80%
650378
3.0

Free-going sort who did well in the circumstances when third on return/handicap debut at Doncaster (1¼m) in June. However, well beaten both subsequent outings, gelded prior to finishing eighth of 9 at Hamilton (8.3f) 6 weeks ago. Will need to settle better if he's to figure.

Class Advantage

6/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a6/1127/11 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/12 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above5/06 · mark par9/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/07 · mark par11/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/08 · mark par11/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 44%6/11Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 64%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 12 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%27/12Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%9/07Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 8 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 13%11/08
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -24.3%Ahead 1/4
4
7
OR 65
33/1
Blue Mantle silks

Kingsley Park 42

Blue Mantle

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Iffraaj - Antebellum (Anabaa)

Callum Shepherd70%C Johnston
32506
3.0Going 8.0

Went close in 7f Newcastle maiden in March. Overdid the forcing tactics on 1m Haydock handicap debut in May and absent since finishing sixth of 8 at Ayr (7f) the following month (finished lame). Gelded ahead of this and market may well prove a useful guide.

Class Advantage

16/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a16/0512/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a5/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a22/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par20/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/06 · mark par20/06projClass-projected finish: 5th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength76%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: GoodDist: 1m 100y · 80%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 3 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 67%16/05Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 2 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 88%12/03Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Expected: 91%Pos 5 · SP 7/4 | Actual: 56%5/04Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%22/05Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%20/06
Projected finish8th of 1022% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength11%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -4.7%Ahead 1/4
11
10
OR 50
40/1
Itszaboy silks

The Crawford Society

Itszaboy

3yo Gelding · 8-8

Ubettabelieveit - Violette Szabo (Excelebration)

Alex Jary0/5−3lbN Tinkler
665258
3.0

Ran his best race when second of 8 to a subsequent winner at Redcar in August but hasn't replicated that in pair of outings this month, only eighth of 10 in a C&D handicap 6 days ago. Others rate more strongly.

Class Advantage

19/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par19/063/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/07 · mark par3/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above3/08 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par2/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above2/09 · mark par16/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above16/09 · mark par16/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 10
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength35%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 50%Dist: 1m 100y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 44%19/06Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 17%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 33%3/08Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 2 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 50%2/09Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 22%16/09
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.0%Ahead 4/4
5
8
OR 64
12/1
Elizabetty silks

Mr P Boyle

Elizabetty

3yo Filly · 9-8

Inns Of Court - Elkmait (Trade Fair)

Jason Hart60%B Ellison70%
713900
3.0
1st Cheekpieces +2

Inns Of Court filly who showed fair form when landing 8-runner Newcastle (7f) novice in January. Hasn't proved the easiest of conveyances since, though, always behind on back of 5 months off returned to turf at Musselburgh (7f) 10 days ago. Cheekpieces now reached for.

Class Advantage

1/01 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/01 · mark par1/0122/01 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above22/01 · mark par6/02 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above6/02 · mark par5/03 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below5/03 · mark par3/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above3/04 · mark par12/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below12/09 · mark par12/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 10
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼1
Strength67%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good · 17%Dist: 1m 100y · 67%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%1/01Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 1 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 100%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 67%6/02Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 9 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 20%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 10 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 18%3/04Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 0%12/09
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 7-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -19.2%Ahead 0/4