18:00 · Southwell

Sky Sports Racing Sky 415 Handicap

6f 16yStandardClass 63YO onlyALLWEATHERHandicap12 runners
Ordered by projected finish
9
2
OR 53
4/1
My Mate Mackley silks

Mr Adam Kirby

3yo Gelding · 9-2

Tasleet - Royal Silk (Royal Applause)

Charles Bishop1/2Adam Kirby60%
421324
7.0
1st Hood +1

Resumed winning ways in classified company at Lingfield (6f) in August. Has run well to be in the frame all 3 runs since, fourth of 11 in handicap at Windsor (5f, good to firm) 15 days ago. Ought to be thereabouts in change of headgear (first-time hood).

Class Advantage

30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/079/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par13/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par14/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above14/08 · mark par1/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/09 · mark par7/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength38%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 11/4 | Expected: 86%Pos 4 · SP 11/4 | Actual: 57%30/07Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 86%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 1 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 100%13/08Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 3 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 75%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 2 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 80%1/09Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 70%7/09
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength98%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.0%Ahead 2/4
2
Market Fav3
OR 60
2/1
Koffee And Kale silks

Kms Orange Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-9

Ardad - Mara Grey (Azamour)

H Crouch60%1/5M L W Bell70%
574642
5.0Class ↓4
Visor

Winless this season but took a step forward in a refitted visor (retained) with second of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 7 days ago. Weighted to go close off the same mark.

Class Advantage

25/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/06 · mark par25/069/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above9/07 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par13/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above13/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength58%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 5 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 5 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 64%25/06Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Expected: 55%Pos 4 · SP 17/2 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 6 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 4 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 63%24/08Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 88%15/09
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength74%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -10.9%Ahead 0/4
5
5
OR 57
3/1
Torbados silks

Rosehill Racing Iii

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Ardad - Exmouth (Elusive Quality)

Jason Watson70%0/2C Hills60%
054624
5.0Class ↓4
Blinkers

Remains winless and not proving the easiest to catch right, a below-par fourth of 6 in handicap at Windsor (1m, good to firm) 29 days ago. Back down in trip.

Class Advantage

25/04 · C6 · finish vs mark below25/04 · mark par25/0426/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above26/05 · mark par8/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par21/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par10/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above10/08 · mark par24/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above24/08 · mark par24/08projClass-projected finish: 4th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 12 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 0%25/04Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 33%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 4 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 75%8/07Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 6 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 2 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 89%10/08Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 4 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 40%24/08
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength69%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.4%Ahead 2/4
1
4
OR 60
14/1
La Belle Forest silks

Sheikh Juma Dalmook Al Maktoum

3yo Filly · 9-9

Mehmas - Hard Forest (Hard Spun)

L Morris70%0/1A Watson90%
176647
3.0
1st Hood +11st Tongue Strap +2

Landed 5f novice here in March for Karl Burke. Best run for current yard when fourth at Lingfield (5f, all-weather) but too free when seventh of 9 in handicap at Wolverhampton (5f) 15 days ago. Hood/tongue strap go on for first time now.

Class Advantage

13/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a13/039/04 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below9/04 · mark par4/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par18/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/06 · mark par20/08 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par7/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above7/09 · mark par7/09projClass-projected finish: 7th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move1
Strength69%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 83%Dist: 6f 16y · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 1 · SP 85/40 | Expected: 89%Pos 1 · SP 85/40 | Actual: 100%13/03Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Expected: 93%Pos 7 · SP 11/8 | Actual: 14%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Expected: 68%Pos 6 · SP 6/1 | Actual: 29%4/06Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 4 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 50%20/08Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 7 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 25%7/09
Projected finish4th of 1273% of fieldRange 4-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength31%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -15.7%Ahead 1/4
11
7
OR 46
7/1
Long Shot silks

Racing Knights & Ptnr

3yo Gelding · 8-9

Mattmu - Gran Canaria Queen (Compton Place)

S De Sousa60%T D Easterby60%
240475
3.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Still to gain a first win but he got back on track with fifth of 16 in handicap at Redcar (6f, good) 13 days ago. Enters calculations eased 1 lb.

Class Advantage

22/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par22/066/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above6/07 · mark par18/07 · C6 · finish vs mark below18/07 · mark par31/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above31/07 · mark par19/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above19/08 · mark par9/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/09 · mark par9/09projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 2 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 83%22/06Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 4 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 63%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 11 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 0%18/07Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Expected: 16%Pos 4 · SP 16/1 | Actual: 75%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 7 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 33%19/08Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 5 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 73%9/09
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend
Strength66%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -3.9%Ahead 2/4
4
Top Pick1
OR 57
28/1
Stoneacre Joe silks

Mr R Teatum

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Showcasing - Fairy Dust (Gregorian)

Sean Kirrane60%0/1T D Easterby60%
845433
6.0
Blinkers

Ran to a fair level when runner-up on first 2 starts this season. Hasn't gone on from those efforts since, though, tried in blinkers when third of 6 in maiden at Catterick (6f, good) 14 days ago. Makes tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

21/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below21/05 · mark par21/0530/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above30/05 · mark par19/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above19/06 · mark par18/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above18/07 · mark par1/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/08 · mark par8/09 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move2
Strength78%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 30%21/05Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Expected: 94%Pos 4 · SP 11/10 | Actual: 40%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Expected: 88%Pos 5 · SP 9/4 | Actual: 43%19/06Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 4 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 3 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 33%1/08Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 3 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 60%8/09
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength0%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -32.1%Ahead 1/4
12
10
OR 45
33/1
Audere silks

Michael & Heather Yarrow

3yo Filly · 8-9

Too Darn Hot - Eirene (Declaration Of War)

J F Egan60%0/2D K Ivory
668646
3.0

Looks a poor maiden and she came in a below-par sixth of 11 in handicap at Lingfield (7f, all-weather) 26 days ago. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage

28/07 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a28/0730/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below30/08 · mark par27/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/09 · mark par30/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/10 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par27/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/08 · mark par27/08projClass-projected finish: 8th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength41%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 38%28/07Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Expected: 63%Pos 6 · SP 7/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 13%27/09Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 50%30/07Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%27/08
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +36.2%Ahead 4/4
7
6
OR 54
25/1
Mister Moet silks

Amphitheatre Racing Limited

3yo Gelding · 9-3

Nando Parrado - Champagne Aerial (Night Shift)

K T O'Neill2/7S Dixon60%
244579
2.0Class ↓4
Cheek pieces

Successful twice on all-weather at Lingfield during early part of 2026 but well below par there and at Wolverhampton on his last 2 runs.

Class Advantage

15/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/07 · mark par15/0721/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/07 · mark par5/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above5/08 · mark par20/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above20/08 · mark par1/09 · C6 · finish vs mark below1/09 · mark par15/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above15/09 · mark par15/09projClass-projected finish: 10th of 12
Class readCOMPETITIVE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength34%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 67%Dist: 6f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 6/4 | Expected: 92%Pos 2 · SP 6/4 | Actual: 50%15/07Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 67%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 4 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 25%5/08Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 5 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 7 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 14%1/09Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 27%15/09
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +11.9%Ahead 3/4
8
8
OR 54
12/1
Imagine That silks

Candy Deal & Jensen

3yo Filly · 9-3

Dream Ahead - Nantany (Piccolo)

Nicola Currie60%0/5H Candy
705545
4.0

Modest maiden handicapper. Posted a solid fifth of 7 at Epsom (7f, good to firm) in July. Needs to build on it after a break on her tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

24/09 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a24/094/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a23/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par27/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above27/06 · mark par30/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above30/07 · mark par30/07projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move1
Strength72%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 7 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 33%24/09Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 10%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 64%23/05Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Expected: 58%Pos 5 · SP 8/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%27/06Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Expected: 47%Pos 5 · SP 10/1 | Actual: 33%30/07
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 7-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength8%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +2.5%Ahead 1/4
6
9
OR 57
10/1
Overbudget silks

Matt Broughton & Hold My Beer Syndicat

3yo Filly · 9-6

Mehmas - L'age D'or (Iffraaj)

Ray Dawson0/1M Appleby60%
837698
2.0
Cheek pieces

Fair maiden but she failed to go on for Dylan Cunha. Yet to fire in 2 runs for current yard too, tried in cheekpieces when eighth of 11 in handicap at Leicester (5f, good) 14 days ago. Others more persuasive.

Class Advantage

4/05 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark below4/05 · mark par4/054/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above4/06 · mark par12/06 · C5 (higher class) · finish vs mark above12/06 · mark par26/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/06 · mark par7/08 · C6 · finish vs mark below7/08 · mark par8/09 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/09 · mark par8/09projClass-projected finish: 9th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move
Strength53%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: StandardDist: 6f 16y · 100%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 8 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 22%4/05Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 3 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 60%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Expected: 71%Pos 7 · SP 11/2 | Actual: 25%12/06Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Expected: 84%Pos 6 · SP 3/1 | Actual: 38%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Expected: 66%Pos 9 · SP 13/2 | Actual: 11%7/08Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 30%8/09
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength30%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -29.4%Ahead 1/4
13
12
OR 45
100/1
Independent Angel silks

Mr Ian Furlong

3yo Filly · 8-9

Almanaara - Granny Roz (Bahamian Bounty)

Jack Doughty0/1L Williamson
400470
2.0
Hood

Made her first real impact when fourth over 6f at Carlisle in June but has twice failed to back that effort up at Chepstow and Ffos Las. Hood is refitted here.

Class Advantage

4/11 · C6 · finish vs mark above4/11 · mark par4/1126/03 · C6 · finish vs mark above26/03 · mark par18/04 · C6 · finish vs mark above18/04 · mark par8/06 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/06 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par21/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above21/08 · mark par21/08projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength22%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 33%Dist: 6f 16y · 83%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 40%4/11Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 125/1 | Actual: 18%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 31%18/04Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 63%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 7 · SP 25/1 | Actual: 14%9/08Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 10 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 18%21/08
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 6-11 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +31.6%Ahead 4/4
14
11
OR 45
80/1
Music And Song silks

Mr Thomas Gaden

3yo Filly · 8-9

Space Blues - Music And Dance (Galileo)

Zoe Lewis60%−7lbD Flood
045896
3.0

Poor ex-Irish maiden. Yet to offer much in a pair of 6f handicaps for new yard at Lingfield (all-weather) and Chepstow this summer. Makes tapeta debut.

Class Advantage

1/06 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above1/06 · mark par1/0622/06 · C8 · finish vs mark above22/06 · mark par8/07 · C7 · finish vs mark above8/07 · mark par20/07 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above20/07 · mark par8/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above8/08 · mark par9/08 · C6 · finish vs mark above9/08 · mark par9/08projClass-projected finish: 11th of 12
Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength51%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Standard · 17%Dist: 6f 16y · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 15%1/06Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 50%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 50%8/07Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 13%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 11%8/08Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Expected: 53%Pos 6 · SP 9/1 | Actual: 29%9/08
Projected finish12th of 120% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend
Strength3%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +5.8%Ahead 2/4