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15:15 · Warwick

Zulus Gonna Get Ya Mares' Handicap Hurdle

2m 3fGood to Firm (Good in places)Class 53YO plusTURFHandicap6 runners
Ordered by projected finish
1
Market FavTop Pick1
OR 101
10/11
Guts And Glory silks

Mr S Kemble

Guts And Glory

4yo Filly · 12-0

Axxos - Morning Blue (Doyen)

Stan Sheppard70%1/1C Boultbee-Brooks60%
F2251
7.0
Tongue strap

Runner-up on first 2 starts and advanced her form in first-time tongue tie after 5 months off when readily landing 8-runner novice hurdle at Stratford (19f, good) 4 weeks ago. Has more to offer now going handicapping.

Class Advantage

26/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a26/0215/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a15/0311/04 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below11/04 · mark par11/0425/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark above25/08 · mark par25/08projClass-projected finish: 1st of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength45%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 25%Dist: 2m 3f · 25%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 2 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 2 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 83%26/02Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Expected: 83%Pos 2 · SP 16/5 | Actual: 80%15/03Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 5 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 33%11/04Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 1 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 100%25/08
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength75%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -2.1%Ahead 2/4
6
2
OR 86
7/2
Ballylicky Bay silks

Pickard Racing Club

Ballylicky Bay

6yo Mare · 11-2

Order Of St George - Trendy Native (Overbury)

Jack Stenhouse60%−7lbK Pickard
385532
6.0Going 9.0

Successful on sole outing in bumpers and in good form over hurdles this season, second of 11 in handicap at Worcester (2½m, good) in July. Merits consideration after a break.

Class Advantage

31/10 · C3 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a31/1025/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/03 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a8/04 · C5 · finish vs mark below8/04 · mark par22/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below22/05 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark above1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength36%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 3 · SP 5/2 | Expected: 87%Pos 3 · SP 5/2 | Actual: 0%31/10Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 100/1 | Actual: 22%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 5 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 60%8/03Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 5 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 3 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 60%22/05Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Expected: 79%Pos 2 · SP 4/1 | Actual: 90%1/07
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength76%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +3.8%Ahead 3/4
4
3
OR 94
4/1
Blackwater Lilly silks

The Ridgeway Racing For Fun Partnershi

Blackwater Lilly

6yo Mare · 11-10

Casamento - Cuckoo's Calling (So You Think)

J M Quinlan0/5N B King
244463
5.0Class ↓3
Tongue strap

Sole hurdles win came for Brian Ellison at Bangor last May. Tongue tied for first time when a solid third of 9 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (2¾m, good to firm) 17 days ago. Not out of things.

Class Advantage

13/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below13/05 · mark par13/0531/05 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below31/05 · mark par26/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/06 · mark par15/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below15/07 · mark par28/07 · C6 · finish vs mark above28/07 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength44%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 2m 3f · 17%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 7/2 | Expected: 82%Pos 4 · SP 7/2 | Actual: 50%13/05Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Expected: 61%Pos 4 · SP 15/2 | Actual: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 22/1 | Actual: 63%26/06Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 6 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 44%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 4 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 50%28/07Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Expected: 76%Pos 3 · SP 9/2 | Actual: 75%5/09
Projected finish3rd of 660% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +1.4%Ahead 1/4
3
4
OR 94
8/1
Miracles Do Happen silks

Hip Flask Racing (mr)

Miracles Do Happen

5yo Mare · 11-10

Bathyrhon - Cosmic Diamond (Multiplex)

G Sheehan60%Billy Aprahamian70%
0618P8
3.0Class ↓3
Hood1st Tongue Strap +2

Gained a first win in maiden at Taunton (2m) in April for Tom Lacey but little to enthuse about since, including both starts for new yard. This headstrong sort tries a longer trip now.

Class Advantage

2/02 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a2/0220/02 · C2 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a7/03 · C5 · finish vs mark below7/03 · mark par9/04 · C5 · finish vs mark above9/04 · mark par19/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below19/05 · mark par26/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below26/07 · mark par26/07projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places) · 17%Dist: 2m 3f

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 27%2/02Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 200/1 | Actual: 8%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Expected: 42%Pos 6 · SP 11/1 | Actual: 29%7/03Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Expected: 74%Pos 1 · SP 5/1 | Actual: 100%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Expected: 82%Pos 8 · SP 10/3 | Actual: 0%19/05Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 20/1 | Actual: 30%26/07
Projected finish4th of 640% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength65%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery -9.9%Ahead 2/4
8
5
OR 78
16/1
Barafundle Bay silks

Jack Philpott / Vic Partridge

Barafundle Bay

5yo Mare · 10-8

Dartmouth - Fast Menantie (Silver Frost)

Jack Tudor0/2Christian Williams
44780
2.0

Modest 11f Flat winner who needed the experience in a pair of hurdle starts last November but unable to advance her form in a trio of handicaps this season.

Class Advantage

23/10 · C6 · finish vs mark above23/10 · mark par23/1011/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a27/11 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark n/a20/05 · C5 · finish vs mark below20/05 · mark par11/06 · C5 · finish vs mark below11/06 · mark par1/07 · C5 · finish vs mark below1/07 · mark par1/07projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength50%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 2m 3f · 50%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 4 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 4 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 40%23/10Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 80/1 | Actual: 57%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 4 · SP 50/1 | Actual: 50%27/11Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 7 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 22%11/06Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Expected: 5%Pos 11 · SP 18/1 | Actual: 0%1/07
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength48%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +10.2%Ahead 2/4
5
6
OR 89
80/1
Lady Bee Great silks

Lost In The Summer Wine

Lady Bee Great

7yo Mare · 11-5

Flemensfirth - Miss Mitch (King's Theatre)

Mr James King60%M Sheppard80%
P31189
2.0
Cheek pieces1st Tongue Strap +2

Points winner. Maiden under Rules though and cheekpieces fitted for first time when last of 9 in handicap hurdle at Stratford (2¾m, good to firm) 17 days ago. Tongue strap is reached for now.

Class Advantage

2/06 · C10 · finish vs mark below2/06 · mark par2/0613/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below13/07 · mark par24/07 · C10 · finish vs mark below24/07 · mark par31/12 · C10 · finish vs mark below31/12 · mark par19/08 · C4 (higher class) · finish vs mark below19/08 · mark par5/09 · C5 · finish vs mark below5/09 · mark par5/09projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲3
Strength10%
Mark par Finish Dot = grade
Going: Good to Firm (Good in places)Dist: 2m 3f · 33%

Previous Market Position

050100todayPos 8 · SP 12/1 | Expected: 37%Pos 8 · SP 12/1 | Actual: 36%2/06Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Expected: 26%Pos 8 · SP 14/1 | Actual: 53%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 6 · SP 28/1 | Actual: 29%24/07Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 12 · SP 33/1 | Actual: 35%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 8 · SP 40/1 | Actual: 46%19/08Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Expected: 0%Pos 9 · SP 66/1 | Actual: 0%5/09
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
ExpectedActualTrend
Delivery +27.5%Ahead 3/4