9
Nectar Des Dieux
3yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#7
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength98%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 6 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 7.8)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.7
Today:
Class gap: +3.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 1st | +6 |
| 2026-02-28 | Fontainebleau | ? | 10th | 6th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength72%
Delivery trend -3.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 18% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/07/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 10/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 30% | -0.07 |