4
North Sea
3yo Gelding · 11-0
Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#4
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼4
Strength94%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today:
Class gap: +3.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 | Vittel | 3 | 5th | 0th | +5 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | 5 | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 975% of fieldRange 5-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength49%
Delivery trend +18.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 3rd | 10/11 | 95% | 60% | -0.35 |
| 27/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |