5
Ratounet
3yo Gelding · 10-12
Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Aix-Les-Bains | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Aix-Les-Bains | 5 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +26.8% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 20% | -0.06 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 30/08/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |