7

Tacticien
3yo Gelding · 10-10
Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼2
Strength72%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Clairefontaine | 5 | 9th | 6th | +3 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 3rd | +5 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength70%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 22% | -0.36 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 13/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |