7

Tacticien

3yo Gelding · 10-10

Auteuil · Prix De Gien Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y

#6

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength72%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Clairefontaine 15/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 2m198y Sft 147 · HIGHER CLASS15/0735 @ Clairefontaine 22/07/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 2m198y Ver 147 · HIGHER CLASS22/075C8 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1568/09C8C8 @ Strasbourg 13/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m88y GS 15613/09C8projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13Strasbourg?2nd2nd0
2026-09-08Auteuil?6th6th0
2026-07-22Clairefontaine59th6th+3
2026-07-15Clairefontaine38th3rd+5

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0722/078/0913/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%

Delivery trend +6.6% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/07/20268th8/158%22%-0.36
22/07/20269th50/10%20%+0.20
08/09/20266th14/126%0%-0.26
13/09/20262nd7/282%83%+0.02