8
Neatikat
3yo Filly · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Amati Claiming Hurdle · 2m 1f 87y
#2
Rank
Odds
10/3
Win Prob
31%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Strasbourg | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Dieppe | 4 | 7th | 3rd | +4 |
| 2026-06-27 | Dieppe | 5 | 5th | 2nd | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -5.1% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 27/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 10/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 27/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 83% | +0.15 |
| 08/09/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |