12
Ascencia
3yo Filly · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Kargal Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Dieppe | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-31 | Senonnes-Pouance | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength76%
Delivery trend +30.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 22% | -0.62 |
| 31/07/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 88% | +0.30 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |