7
Hayden De Roche
3yo Gelding · 10-7
Auteuil · Prix Kargal Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#8
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Clairefontaine | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | Dieppe | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1218% of fieldRange 12-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -40.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 82% | +0.24 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 78% | -0.15 |
| 26/08/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |