IvyArcIvyArc
3

Jardin Paturle

3yo Gelding · 10-7

Auteuil · Prix Kargal Chase · 2m 1f 87y

#4

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C0.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Compiegne 01/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m7f199y Hvy 1451/04C?1 @ Auteuil 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 1m6f200y Hvy 14525/0411 @ Auteuil 17/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 2m1f87y Sft 14317/051C0 @ Auteuil 08/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 2m1f87y Ver 1478/09C?projClass-projected finish: 6th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-08Auteuil?5th5th0
2026-05-17Auteuil12nd2nd0
2026-04-25Auteuil13rd3rd0
2026-04-01Compiegne?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0425/0417/058/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 5-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength17%

Delivery trend -42.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
25/04/20263rd25/10%71%+0.71
17/05/20262nd11/142%83%+0.41
08/09/20265th2/189%43%-0.47