11
Valdorina
3yo Filly · 10-3
Auteuil · Prix Kargal Chase · 2m 1f 87y
#3
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Auteuil | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Auteuil | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Compiegne | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-09 | Fontainebleau | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1255% of fieldRange 9-12 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -19.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 04/05/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 08/09/2026 | 8th | 10/3 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |